NCAA Basketball Picks: A Terrific Underdog Trio On Wednesday’s Card

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, February 24, 2016 1:43 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 24, 2016 1:43 PM UTC

Our college basketball analyst shares his top three underdog plays on Wednesday’s card. Let us assist you in making a big profit today with our free NCAA basketball picks.

Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M 7:00 PM ET
Texas A&M is coming off an emotional buzzer beater win over Kentucky this past Saturday. After going through a 0-4 SU&ATS stretch, they’ve now bounced back to win their last two games. It’s highly improbable that the Aggies can come close to matching the emotional intensity tonight that they displayed against Kentucky. After all, they’ll be facing a second tier SEC opponent. That’s not to suggest I’m going out on a limb and predicting an outright upset. However, the double digit number they’ll be asked to cover will be a very tall order with all being considered. Texas A&M has been horrible with their free throw shooting of late, converting on only 62.9% of its attempts over its previous five contests. That can certainly come into play tonight, and especially so if they’re asked to protect a late lead by converting free throws.

Mississippi State has a less than impressive 5-9 record in SEC play, but they won’t be lacking for confidence this evening. The Bulldogs have won three of its last four games, including a win 67-61 as a 6.0 point underdog at Alabama on Saturday. They’ve played very well on the defensive end in recent games, limiting opponents to a combined 40.7% shooting during its last five outings. Mississippi State also will be playing with revenge stemming from a narrow 1 point loss to Texas A&M in early January. They covered that game easily as a 7.0 point underdog, and held the Aggies to a paltry 30.6% shooting.

I like the double digit road underdog to stay inside this number, and one of my Wednesday NCAA basketball picks will be indicative of that sentiment.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2936591, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,92,238,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NCAA Basketball Pick: Mississippi State +12
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline


Wisconsin vs. Iowa 9:00 PM ET
Wisconsin has gone 8-1 in their last nine games, and their only loss in that sequence was at #6 Michigan State. During their last five contests, Wisconsin has converted on an outstanding 42.3% of its three point attempts, and allowed opponents only an average of 14 free throw attempts per outing.

Iowa has lost two of their last three games, including being upset 79-75 as a 9.0 point favorite at Penn State last Saturday. Asking the Hawkeyes to cover this sizable number, versus an opponent that’s been playing well for an extended period of time appears to be an extremely difficult task.

Current (9:00 AM ET) NCAA basketball odds at Heritage clearly provides me with the best number for this underdog wager.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2936599, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,92,238,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NCAA Basketball Pick: Wisconsin +9
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


Arizona vs. Colorado 9:00 PM ET
Colorado has gone a stellar 14-1 on its home floor this season. Their lone defeat came by a slim 2 point margin at the hands of #21 Utah. The Buffaloes are a very good three point shooting team at 39.4% this season, and are an even better 41.6% when playing in Boulder. Colorado is pretty much the only PAC-12 team that possesses an ability to match Arizona’s dominant rebounding statistics. They’ve been terrific defensively at home as well, limiting opponents to a paltry 39.9% shooting.

Arizona has been on a nice roll of late. However, they’ve been far from invincible in conference road games, going a mediocre 4-3 in those contests. If there’s been a flaw in Arizona’s game of late, it has been their ability to defend opponent’s three-point shooting. The Wildcats opponents during their last five games have converted on an alarming 38.3% of its long distance attempts.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2936601, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,92,238,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NCAA Basketball Pick: Colorado +6
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

comment here