NCAA Basketball Picks: Take 'Under' In Creighton vs. BYU NIT Game

Charles Stark

Tuesday, March 22, 2016 12:20 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 22, 2016 12:20 PM UTC

With Creighton visiting BYU, we can expect a real up-tempo fun offensive game; odds makers have a really high total because of this. Both teams can shoot, but is this total just a bit too high?

Odds makers have come out with a total of 165.5 for this game like -110 at BetOnline. Despite the fact that these two teams push the pace and can score this total just a bit too high in my opinion so for one of my NCAA basketball picks I will be backing the under. Look for them to put up points tonight but not quite reach this number.


Creighton Bluejays
Creighton averages 79.6 points per game and rank 29th in overall shooting percentage and field goals made per game. On the season they have been extremely good in scoring the basketball but not quite as good on the road. Their overall scoring goes from around 82 points at home to 76 on the road but more noticeable is that their overall shooting percentage drops from almost 50% at home to 44% on the road. Defensively they are not bad and they rank in the top part of the country in opponent shooting efficiency and opponent two point shooting percentage. Their tempo is pretty fast averaging 59.2 field goal attempts per game but that still ranks outside of the top 100 teams. Sure enough the pace will be fast tonight because BYU likes to get up and allow tempo but Creighton plays enough defense in my opinion to get enough stops to assist in staying below the number.


BYU Cougars
BYU averages 83.5 points per game which ranks fifth in the country and shoot 38.5% from beyond the arc which ranks 25th. They also rank fourth and sixth in field goals made and attempted per game respectively. I really like how they run their offense in that they push tempo about as much as anyone in the country averaging 64 shots per game. Still, they are also a pretty good defensive team and rank in the top part of the country from opponent shooting efficiency to opponent effective field-goal percentage. They match up well with one of Creighton strengths and that is the two-point shot where BYU allows jut around 46% at home. As well, at times this season BYU has been tough defensively at home and with a trip to New York on the line I expect them to step it up tonight opponent. Although I do expect a high-scoring game, the number that the odds makers have set in NCAA basketball odds boards is just a bit too high in my opinion.

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Free NCAA NIT Pick: 'Under' 165.5 (-105)
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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