NCAA Basketball Picks: Sweet 16 Underdog Picks

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, March 26, 2013 3:25 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 26, 2013 3:25 PM UTC

Underdogs have been the story all tournament long. As we enter the Sweet 16, is there any NCAA Basketball betting value to be found with the dogs at this point in the game?

The Arizona Wildcats and Michigan Wolverines have received points just four times combined this season, which makes them dangerous underdogs in the Sweet 16 of the 2013 NCAA Tournament.

Before placing your picks, take a look at our NCAA Tournament Betting: Sweet 16 Seeding Trends.

Tremendous underdog numbers

Arizona earned a 65-64 victory over the Florida Gators on Dec. 15 in its only opportunity as an underdog this year, which pushed its record to 71-44 against the spread (ATS) when getting points in its last 115 games in that situation.

View our NCAAB Picks: Arizona vs. Ohio State for a full game preview.

The Wildcats earned victories over Harvard and Belmont as 10.5 and 4.5-point favorites in the opening week of the tournament, while they’ve covered the number in four of their last five games overall.

It’s important to point out that the program is 13-7 straight up when playing in California during the Big Dance, with this being the 13th trip to that particular state in this event.

College basketball handicappers will find that the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus Big Ten Conference opponents, while the Ohio State Buckeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 opportunities as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 poins.

Recommendation:  Arizona Wildcats +4 at Sports Interaction


Big Ten reigns supreme

Michigan is one of four Big Ten Conference teams to advance to the Sweet 16, which is important to consider when making your NCAA tournament picks, especially with the Kansas Jayhawks being the only Big 12 Conference still alive after the first week.

The Wolverines were visually impressive in covering the number as favorites against VCU and South Dakota State last week, while going UNDER the total in both of those contests.

On the offensive end, the squad managed to shoot above 50 percent in each of those games, but will have a hard time duplicating that type of effort versus a foe that led the country in field goal percentage defense.

The Wolverines are 4-0 ATS against Big 12 opponents the last two-plus seasons, while the Jayhawks have failed to cover the College Basketball odds in 12 of their last 16 games versus teams that hail from the Big Ten.

Recommendation:  Michigan Wolverines +2 at BetOnline


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