NCAA Basketball Picks: Sweet 16 Betting Trends

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, March 27, 2013 11:09 AM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 27, 2013 11:09 AM UTC

As the tournament reached the Sweet 16, let us take the time to go over a few betting trends that can help bettors when making their NCAA Basketball picks. What angles have we found that could be worth exploiting?

The Louisville Cardinals will likely advance past the Sweet 16 this week, as their head coach possesses one of the more dominating betting trends in this particular round.

Let’s take a closer look at six betting trends that you absolutely need to know before making your NCAA Basketball picks Thursday and Friday.


Louisville had little trouble advancing to the second week of the 2013 NCAA Tournament, as it picked up lopsided wins over Colorado State and NCA&T, while both games managed to go OVER the total.

Coach Rick Pitino will definitely have his team ready for its Sweet 16 matchup with the Oregon Ducks, considering he’s enjoyed a 9-0 straight up and against-the-spread (ATS) run in this particular round.

Before placing your picks, take a look at our NCAA Tournament Betting: Sweet 16 Seeding Trends.


Syracuse enjoyed its trip out to the West Coast last week, as it came away with victories over the California Golden Bears and Montana Grizzlies, but its run in the tournament may come to an end in this spot.

The Orange are 0-6 ATS in their last six Sweet 16 games, while they’ve also failed to cover the number in four of their last five games versus Big Ten Conference foes.

Cinderella’s ATS run may continue

Florida Gulf Coast is going to have a hard time moving past the Florida Gators, but it did manage to come away with SU underdog victories over San Diego State and Georgetown, while climbing OVER the NCAA Basketball odds total in each contest.

NCAA tournament underdogs of 11 of more points have put together a solid 7-2 ATS mark in their last nine opportunities. 

Switching up

One of my favorite angles in sports handicapping is backing a team that’s normally favored in an underdog role, which certainly makes the Arizona Wildcats a playable option, as they hammered Harvard and Belmont when laying 10.5 and 4.5 points respectively.

The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS as underdogs of nine points or less in their last seven NCAA tournament games.

No. 2 seed blues

It’s all about survive and advancing in March Madness, which is exactly what the Duke Blue Devils accomplished by picking up a pair of wins over Creighton and Albany by double-digit margins. 

The Blue Devils are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 NCAA tournament games when playing as the No. 2 seed.

Chomping up the competition

Florida was one of the more impressive teams during the first week of the tournament, as it won and covered the number against Minnesota and Northwestern State, while allowing just 111 combined points.

The Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last five NCAA tournament games as favorites of 12 or more points, while they’ve gone 18-5 ATS overall in this event dating back to 2006.
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