NCAA Basketball Picks: Sunday Value Plays

Joe Freda

Sunday, January 6, 2013 2:44 PM UTC

Sunday, Jan. 6, 2013 2:44 PM UTC

Where do we believe that the best betting value lies for your NCAA Basketball picks today? Find out where we have decided to place our money.

Sunday’s college hoops matchup report features a pair of Pacific-12 matchups, with the Colorado Buffaloes visiting the Arizona State Sun Devils and the Oregon State Beavers hosting a ‘Civil War’ duel with the Oregon Ducks. Where should your money go here, with oddsmakers seeing both battles as close contests? 

Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils 

Colorado saw a three-game winning streak snapped in Thursday’s 92-83 overtime loss against the Arizona Wildcats, holding on to cash as a 12 ½-point road dog. The Buffaloes saw a 34-27 halftime lead erased, while held to three points in the affair’s extra stanza.

Buffaloes guard Askia Booker notched a team-high 18 points, drilling 4-of-7 from three point land as part of his side’s 10-for-21 night beyond the arc. Colorado’s Andre Roberson grabbed 11 boards, while the Buffaloes were outrebounded, 39-31. 

Arizona State pulled out a fourth straight win in Wednesday’s 55-54 victory over the Utah Utes, coming in overtime as an eight-point home favorite. Sun Devils guard Jahii Carson knocked down a three-point shot to tie the game in regulation, 49-49, while connecting a go-ahead layup in the matchup’s extra minutes for the battle’s final bucket. 

The NCAA Basketball odds makers at opened Colorado as a two-point road favorite, with early wagers on the Buffaloes lifting the number a ‘hook’ to 2 ½. I am going the other way here, backing the Sun Devils as home dogs. 

Arizona State has held visiting foes to 60.2 PPG in its last nine home dates, while allowing a stingy 34.5 percent mark of field shooting in its triumph against Utah. Carson ranks as a top-five scorer in the Pacific-12 (17.5 PPG, 5.6 APG), while mate Jordan Bachynski leads the conference in shooting (64.4 percent) and blocks (4.3 BPG). 

The Sun Devils also come in with revenge after dropping both of last year’s matchups against Colorado.  Look for Carson and Co. to avenge those defeats, getting the money here at the wire.

NCAA Basketball Pick:  Arizona St +2 at Bookamker


Oregon Ducks at Oregon State Beavers

Oregon picked up its sixth win in seven games with Monday’s 56-43 win against the Nevada Wolf Pack, cashing as a 12-point home favorite. The Ducks held Nevada to a sparse 28.1 percent field shooting, while outrebounding the Wolf Pack, 34-22. 

Oregon State’s latest action was on the same day’s card, with a ‘non-board’ triumph over the Texas-Pan American Broncos. The Beavers cruised to an 84-59 victory, with mates Joe Burton and Eric Moreland uniting for 29 points and 21 rebounds. 

Last year’s pair of “Civil War” affairs saw the rivals split the two contests, with each squad coming away with road victories. The battle at Oregon State’s Gill Coliseum saw Oregon pull out a 74-73 win as a 3 ½-point dog, with the now-departed Garrett Sim piling in 25 points. 

Beavers guard Ahmad Starks notched a team-high 18 points in that affair, knocking down 4-of-5 buckets from three-point land. The junior also comes in with momentum, hanging 21 points on Texas-Pan American, while Oregon State’s Eric Moreland ranks in the Pacific-12’s top five for shooting (62.5 percent), boards (11.2 RPG), and blocks (2.7 BPG).

The NCAAB betting lines opened Oregon as one-point road ‘chalk,’ with early betting on the Ducks driving the number north to two. I am taking the Beavers as short dogs here, looking for Starks and Co. to handle the step up in class for this rivalry affair. 

Oregon has showed its share of home-road disparity already, going 0-2 ATS in its latest two affairs away from Eugene. The Ducks allowed a sizable 84 PPG in those pair of contests and could get lit up again here in Corvallis, with Oregon State piling in 80.2 PPG and a 40.9 percent mark beyond the arc.

NCAA Basketball Pick:  Oregon State Beavers +2 at 5Dimes


comment here