NCAA Basketball Picks: Spotting Value with Quality Road Teams

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, February 25, 2015 5:01 PM GMT

Wednesday, Feb. 25, 2015 5:01 PM GMT

In a ground-breaking statistical article, this NCAA Basketball handicapper takes a look at “The Roadrunners of College Basketball,” explaining this betting system which provides 70% winners.

This season, I have authored numerous articles regarding NCAA Basketball teams’ performance on their home court.  This includes articles on the Undefeated Home Courts, most recently updated, Monday, February 23rd 2015, as well as an article on “The Homeless,” a late January article in which I analyze the failures of teams who had a home record of .500 or worse.  

These are NCAA Basketball road teams who, through Sunday, February 22nd, have won 67% or better of their true road games in the college basketball season. As you can see below, the list is comprised of 22 college teams.  It includes varying NCAA Basketball odds pointspread records in the columns below. 

Following that chart, I will offer a mind-blowing conclusion that has resulted in a plethora of ATS winners. 

 

TEAM

SU AWAY

YTD

ATS AWAY

YTD

ATS AWAY

CON

RD 

DOG

P TO

-5-

-6+

RF

Arizona

6-3

5-4

5-2

0-0

2-0

3-4

Cal Davis

9-4

9-3

5-1

5-2

4-1

0-0

Duke

7-2

5-4

3-4

3-0

1-1

1-3

Gonzaga

11-1

6-5

3-5

1-0

2-0

3-5

Harvard

8-3

3-5

3-2

1-2

0-1

2-1

Hofstra

11-5

8-4

5-3

2-3

6-0

0-1

Kentucky

8-0

4-4

3-4

0-0

1-0

3-4

Louisville

6-3

4-5

4-4

2-0

1-2

1-3

Mississippi

7-3

9-1

6-1

5-1

3-0

1-0

Murray St

10-1

7-4

4-3

2-1

3-0

2-3

N Iowa

9-2

8-2

5-2

2-0

2-1

4-1

Notre Dame

6-2

4-4

4-4

1-1

1-3

2-0

St Marys

6-3

6-2

4-2

3-2

2-0

1-0

SMU

7-3

3-7

2-5

2-1

1-2

0-4

Tulsa

7-3

4-5

4-3

1-1

1-2

2-1

Valpo

7-3

7-3

4-2

2-1

4-1

1-1

Villanova

7-2

6-3

5-2

0-0

3-1

3-2

Virginia

9-0

7-2

6-0

0-0

4-0

3-2

VCU

8-2

6-4

4-3

1-0

3-2

2-2

Wichita St

9-2

6-5

5-3

1-0

2-1

3-4

Wisconsin

8-1

6-3

3-2

0-0

2-0

4-3

Yale

10-5

9-2

5-0

4-2

4-0

1-0

I will save you the trouble of adding up the columns in this chart.  The records are as follows:

·         176-53 SU (76.9%)

·         132-81 ATS (62%) for all results in pure road games

·         92-57 ATS (61.7%) for all conference true road games

·         38-17 ATS (69%) in the role of road underdog

·         52-18 ATS (74.3%) in the role of road favorite to -5-

·         42-44 ATS (48.8%) when favored by 6 or more points on the road

 

As you can see from the numbers above, if we add up the results of these quality road teams in the role of road underdog or short road favorite, they are a mind-blowing 90-35 ATS, good for 72%  winning NCAA Basketball picks!  I know that’s good enough for me, how about you?  With 2 weeks of road games still ahead, there is plenty of time for you to use the results of this article for some nice profit.  And, remember, once games switch to neutral courts in post-season play, the records of these quality road teams will hold them in good stead.  I will be joining the Roadrunners of College Basketball for the remainder of the season.  Will you?

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