NCAA Basketball Picks South Florida vs. UConn

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, February 12, 2014 2:45 PM GMT

The South Florida Bulls have been great against the spread when taking on the Connecticut Huskies in recent meetings, but that narrative may change Wednesday night. Let’s take a closer look at the NCAA betting odds for this American Athletic Conference matchup at the XL Center, with the opening tip scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN2.

Fallen into a pattern

South Florida has alternated wins and losses over its last five games, as it looks to bounce back from a 79-69 setback to the Rutgers Scarlet Knights as five-point home favorites in the NCAA basketball odds last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total for a second consecutive contest.

The Bulls have dropped all six of their games against top-25 opponents during the 2013-14 campaign—losing by an average of 19 points.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 0-3 SU and 2-1 ATS as road underdogs of 12.5 to 15 points.

Playing solid basketball

Connecticut has won four of its last five games, with the victories coming by an average of 23 points, including a 75-55 victory over the UCF Knights as 6.5-point road favorites Sunday.

The Huskies own a 10-2 SU advantage in this series, while they’ve compiled a 237-86 record when playing at this venue overall.

College basketball handicappers will find that the team is 15-2 SU and 10-7 ATS as favorites this season.

Trouble from beyond the arc

The Bulls have shot 18.5 percent from the three-point area against ranked opponents this season, while knocking down just 25.4 percent of all of their attempts from beyond the arc through 24 games.

South Florida is 0-8 SU when shooting 40 percent from the field overall—a statistic that’s important to handicap with Connecticut limiting foes to 36 percent shooting at home.

Shabazz

Huskies point guard Shabazz Napier is averaging 17.7 points, 5.9 rebounds and 5.6 assists this season, while DeAndre Daniels (13.5) and Ryan Boatright (12.2) also average double figures.

Napier has played a major part in the team shooting 40.1 percent from beyond the arc—a number that’s very close to the program’s record of 40.8 percent set in 1995-96

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Huskies as one of their NCAA basketball picks, as they’ve gone 4-0 ATS as home favorites of 12.5 or more points this season.

Pick: Connecticut Huskies -14.5

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