NCAA Basketball Picks: Rider vs. Fairfield

Joe Freda

Friday, February 1, 2013 1:14 PM GMT

Will the Rider Broncos get some revenge at the NCAAB betting windows or can the Fairfield Stags cover as home faves? Find out which team we are backing with our Basketball picks tonight.

The Rider Broncs and Fairfield Stags have been on different paths, with their last nine games showcasing opposite betting marks of 7-2 and 2-7 ATS, respectively. Friday’s contest between the foes has them meeting in a rematch from December’s 65-52 win for Fairfield as a four-point road dog.

Stags, Needham top St. Peter’s

Fairfield logged a second straight victory in Sunday’s 61-54 win over the St. Peter’s Peacocks, while falling a ‘hook’ short of cashing as a 7 ½-point road favorite. The Stags hit 12-of-16 free throws, while outrebounding St. Peter’s, 39-24.

Stags guard Derek Needham notched a team-high 19 points, drilling 3-of-9 shots outside the arc. Fairfield’s Desmond Wade logged 12 points and 10 boards for a double-double, while adding six assists.

The contest’s combined 115 points lunged above the closing ‘total’ of 114 ½, moving the OVER to 5-2 in the Stags’ last seven games. Fairfield held the Peacocks to 39.6 percent field shooting, while Stags forward Josip Mikulic recorded two of his squad’s three blocks.

Broncs, Thompson upset at home

Rider ended a three-game homestand with Sunday’s 62-51 defeat to the Manhattan Jaspers, losing as a 4 ½-point favorite. The Broncs allowed Manhattan to connect from the floor at a 52.6 percent clip, including a sizable 7-of-11 day from three-point land.

Broncs guard Jonathon Thompson led his side’s scoring with 18 points, knocking down 7-of-9 buckets from the floor. Rider’s Daniel Stewart grabbed a team-high seven rebounds, while mates Tommy Pereira and Zedric Sadler logged three assists each.

The duel’s combined 113 points ducked below the ‘total’ of 117 ½, bringing the UNDER to 6-1 in the Broncs’ last seven matchups. Rider sank 7-of-11 free throws, while edged out in boards, 25-20.

[gameodds]14/219245/43/us[/gameodds]

Back Rider on the road

NCAA basketball betting odds opened Fairfield as an 8 ½-point home favorite, with early wagers on the Stags dropping the number a ‘hook’ to eight. Rider’s Junior Fortunat (3.6 RPG) missed Sunday’s affair with Manhattan due to a concussion and is listed as “doubtful” to return here.

I am backing the Broncs as road dogs here, looking for Kevin Baggett’s squad to pick up a cover in aclose matchup with points at a premium. Rider is 4-0 ATS in its last four games away from home, including three spots as an underdog, making them a prime choice for our College Basketball picks.

The Broncs rank third among MAAC foes for three-point shooting (35 percent) and should get their share of looks here, with Fairfield allowing 38.6 percent beyond the arc in its last five games. Broncs junior Daniel Stewart has reached sixth in the conference for rebounds (6.7 RPG), while mate Dera Nd-Ezuma grabbed eight boards in last month’s setback to the Stags.

Fairfield is 1-2 ATS in its last three home dates, while hitting a subpar 62.7 percent at the charity stripe on its floor this year. The team’s defense has gotten stingy in some spots, but is laying too high of a premium here with Rider going 5-0 ATS in its last five road meetings with the Stags.

So let's add Rider to our sports picks, as we look for the Broncs to collect again, staying close down the stretch as the pointspread comes in handy for a cashed ticket.

NCAA Basketball Pick:  Rider Broncs +8