NCAA Basketball Picks: Purdue vs. Wisconsin

Joe Freda

Sunday, March 3, 2013 2:07 PM GMT

Will the Badgers cruise again here or can Purdue find a way to keep the battle close?

The No. 17 Wisconsin Badgers have a 4-0-1 spread record in their last five games, including three straight cashed tickets as ‘chalk.’ Sunday afternoon’s college hoops betting has Bo Ryan’s squad hosting the Purdue Boilermakers, who are 1-4 ATS in their last five road spots. 

Badgers, Dekker crush Nebraska

Wisconsin’s latest triumph came in Tuesday’s 77-46 thrashing of the Nebraska Cornhuskers, cashing as a 16 ½-point home favorite. The Badgers connected from the floor at 50.9 percent, including a stellar 12-for-25 from three-point land.

Badgers freshman Sam Dekker notched a season-high 19 points, reaching double figures for a fifth straight game. Wisconsin’s Mike Brusewitz and Ryan Evans united for 16 boards, while Dekker added four of his side’s 19 assists.

The lopsided duel’s combined 123 points leaped above the NCAAB odds ‘total’ of 113 ½, lifting the OVER to a 5-2 mark in the Badgers’ last seven contests. Wisconsin’s Jared Berggren recorded four blocks, while the Badgers held Nebraska to 32.8 percent field shooting.

Boilermakers held tight at Iowa

Purdue logged its sixth loss in eight games with Wednesday’s 58-48 defeat as a nine-point road dog against the Iowa Hawkeyes. The Boilermakers shot 3-for-14 beyond the arc, while being edged out in rebounds, 37-34.

Boilermakers mates Ronnie Johnson and D.J. Byrd united for 21 points, while Johnson added a team-high six assists. Purdue’s A.J. Hammons logged nine boards en route to 12 points, hitting 5-of-7 floor shots in 18 minutes of action 

The battle’s combined 106 points plunged beneath the ‘total’ of 133, moving the UNDER to 3-0 in the Boilermakers’ last trio of matchups. Purdue logged a sizable 24 personal fouls, while its roster failed to block any shots.

Also, check out our College basketball Picks of the Day~

[gameodds]14/222857/43/us[/gameodds]

Back the Boilermakers as road dogs

Bookmaker.eu opened Wisconsin as a 14 ½-point home favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at 118. Purdue’s Terone Johnson (12.7 PPG) is listed as “probable” to play, recovering from an ankle injury.

I am adding the Boilermakers to Sunday’s card of sports picks, taking the big number on the road. The last six meetings between these foes have been decided by single digits, with another tight affair looming here.

Wisconsin has held foes to some low numbers in its latest string of battles, but could catch itself looking ahead spot to Thursday’s revenge trip against No. 9 Michigan State, who handed the Badgers a 49-47 defeat back in January. The same situation happened in a pair of lesser battles earlier this month, with Wisconsin pulling off a tight 74-70 win over Iowa before facing No. 4 Michigan and suffering a 58-53 loss at Minnesota prior to rolling past No. 16 Ohio State, just three days later.

Purdue’s A.J. Hammons and Wisconsin’s Jared Berggren clash here as the Big Ten Confernce’s top two shot blockers. Berggren was held to five points in last January’s most recent meeting with Purdue, while Terone Johnson notched team-highs of 16 points and four assists for the Boilermakers.

The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last dozen battles between these foes, while Wisconsin is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 home dates against rivals with losing road records. Look for Purdue to stay within cashing range in a low-octane duel, with an inflated pointspread thanks to the Badgers’ recent surge

Basketball Pick: Purdue Boilermakers +14 ½ (Bookmaker.eu)