NCAA Basketball Picks: Oregon vs. Arizona

Jeff Grant

Thursday, February 6, 2014 2:34 PM GMT

Thursday, Feb. 6, 2014 2:34 PM GMT

The Arizona Wildcats will attempt to bounce back from their first loss of the season, as they prepare to host the Oregon Ducks Thursday. With NCAA Basketball odds listing Oregon as 11 point dogs, who have we decided to back with our sports picks tonight?

Let’s take a closer look at the NCAA basketball odds for this Pac-12 Conference showdown at the McKale Center, with the opening tip scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Check out our NCAA Basketball Picks of the Day for more free plays.

Fallen into a pattern 

Oregon has alternated wins and losses over its last four games, as it comes off a 78-66 victory over the USC Trojans as 13-point home favorites last Saturday, while going UNDER the betting total for a fifth consecutive contest.   

The Ducks lead the Pac-12 and rank fourth nationally in scoring, but they haven’t faced an opponent that current sits in the AP Top 25 poll.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 2-1 ATS as road underdogs of 9.5 to 12 points. 

Knocked off 

The Arizona Wildcats' perfect season came to an end last time out, as they dropped a 60-58 decision to the California Golden Bears as six-point road favorites, while going UNDER the betting total for a fourth consecutive affair.

The Wildcats are 11-3 SU and 9-5 ATS off a loss against a conference rival, with no clear edge in terms of the total (6-6 Over/Under). 

It’s important to point out that the team will be without the services of forward Brandon Ashley, who was averaging 11.5 points and 5.8 rebounds before suffering a season-ending foot injury versus the Golden Bears. 

Defending the perimeter 

College basketball handicappers will need to take a look at the road underdog in this spot, as the Ducks have forced double-digit turnovers in 19 of their 21 games during the 2013-14 campaign. 

Oregon’s bench is also a major strength, with the group outscoring foes by a 654-383 margin. 

Power in the paint 

The Wildcats are certainly capable of still beating any team in the country, considering they outscore foes by an average of 12.9 points per game in the paint.

Oregon has also won the rebounding battle in 19 of its 22 games—ranking sixth nationally with a +9.5 margin in that important statistical category.

[gameodds]14/256953/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Ducks as one of their NCAA basketball picks, as the road team has covered the number in five of the last seven meetings in this series. 

NCAA Basketball Pick:  Oregon Ducks +11
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