NCAA Basketball Picks: Oregon State vs. Colorado

PJ Laferla

Wednesday, March 13, 2013 2:17 PM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 13, 2013 2:17 PM UTC

A few days ago, Oregon State came out with a 64-58 win against the Colorado Buffaloes. Can they do it again? Who do we think will cover for our NCAAB picks?

PAC-12 Tournament Pick: Oregon State vs. Colorado

After meeting just four days ago, Oregon State and Colorado collide on the court once again in the opening round of the PAC-12 college basketball tournament, with tip off set for 5:30 PM from the MGM Grand Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Bookmaker opened this game listing Colorado with a -5 point advantage on the college basketball odds, which might prove to be good news for anyone willing to lay the chalk, as the team giving up points is 5-2 ATS in the last seven matchups between these two schools.

The games over/under total is coming in at 134 points, but everything about this game reeks of a low scoring affair.

First off, four of the last five head to head meetings between Oregon State and Colorado fell short of the total. Second, the Beavers are under in 6 of their last 8 games overall and 5 of 6 on a neutral site. And last but not least, the Buffaloes are under in 6 of 8 games played on a neutral site and a staggering 35 of 51 overall.

Oregon State enters play this evening with records of 14-17 SU and 13-12-2 ATS, while averaging 72.1 points scored per game on 44.9% shooting. Defensively, opponents are hitting 43.3% of their shots, which is translating into an average of 70.1 points per game.

The Beavers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on neutral territory, but they are 0-7 in their last seven matchups following a SU win.

Meanwhile, Colorado boasts records of 20-10 SU and 16-12 ATS. Offensively, they are scoring an average just shy of 68 points per game (67.3) on 43.8% shooting. On the defensive end, they are holding opponents to 63.1 points per game, while allowing a field goal percentage of 40.2%.

The Buffaloes are a very impressive 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played on neutral territory, but they are 0-4 ATS in their last four when going up against a team with a SU losing record.


The Pick

Oregon State is a quality team, but they offer very little depth, which could end up costing them this game. And even tough the 12th seeded Beavers led the Pac-12 from beyond the arc, shooting 36.8 percent; the Buffaloes were second in the conference defending the three-point shot (32.4 percent).

Colorado will attempt to defend its Pac-12 tournament crown as a fifth seed this year, but before they think that far ahead, they must not take a very dangerous Oregon State team lightly, as the Beavers last five wins in conference tournament action have come when they were listed as a lower seed team.

This will be a tough hard fought game, which is why I am siding with the underdog this college basketball pick.

Pac-12 NCAAB Pick: Oregon State +5 at Bookmaker

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