NCAA Basketball Picks: Notre Dame vs. Louisville

Joe Freda

Saturday, March 9, 2013 12:36 PM GMT

Saturday, Mar. 9, 2013 12:36 PM GMT

The No. 8 Louisville Cardinals and No. 24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish are both 3-1 ATS in their last four games, holding foes to a combined 52.2 PPG. Will Louisville run it up for some revenge here?

Saturday’s college basketball betting has the rivals meeting in a circled rematch, following last month’s 104-101 overtime win for Notre Dame as a six-point home dog.

Cardinals, Smith pull away at home

Louisville notched its sixth straight win in Monday’s 67-51 victory over the Cincinnati Bearcats, collecting as 10 ½-point home ‘chalk' against the NCAAB odds boards. The Cardinals held Cincinnati to 35.3 percent field shooting, while helped by the Bearcats’ 21 turnovers.

Cardinals mates Russ Smith and Gorgui Dieng united for 29 points and 12 boards, with Dieng adding one of his side’s three blocks. Louisville’s Peyton Siva logged a team-high four assists, while combining with Chane Behanan for six steals.

The duel’s 118 points ducked below the ‘total’ of 122, moving the UNDER to 5-1 in the Cardinals’ last six matchups. Louisville hit 8-of-11 free throws, while edged out in rebounds, 34-31.

Irish, Cooley crush St. John’s

Notre Dame tightened up in Tuesday’s 66-40 triumph as a 10-point home favorite against the St. John’s Red Storm. The Fighting Irish rallied from a four-point halftime deficit, outscoring St. John’s after the break, 44-14.

Fighting Irish forward Jack Cooley came away with 13 points and 12 boards as part of the senior night affair, hitting 5-of-7 field buckets. Notre Dame’s Jerian Grant notched team-highs of 21 points and eight assists, while adding three of his squad’s five steals.

The battle’s combined 106 points plunged beneath the ‘total’ of 128, making the UNDER 4-1 in Notre Dame’s last five games.  Grant drilled 5-of-6 shots from three-point land, while the Irish held St. John’s to a 30.4 percent night from the floor.

Back the Irish on the road

Bookmaker.eu opened Louisville as a 12-point home favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at 125. Both squads are playing their regular season finale, with the Big East Tournament looming next week.

I am taking the big number here with Notre Dame, looking for a hard fought cover on Louisville’s floor. The last six matchups between these foes have seen five decided by 10 points or less, including last January’s 67-65 upset win for the Irish as 12 ½-point road dogs.

Notre Dame sole spot as a double-digit dog this year saw Cooley and Co. notch a 51-42 victory against the Pittsburgh Panthers. The Irish held Pitt to 34.8 percent field shooting, while outrebounding the Panthers, 36-22.

[gameodds]14/223575/43/us[/gameodds]

Cooley has led the Big East in rebounds (10.7 RPG), while Irish mates Eric Atkins (6 APG) and Jerian Grant (5.6 APG) rank in the conference’s top five for assists. February’s victory for Notre Dame over the Cardinals saw Cooley unite with Pat Connaughton for 25 boards, while Grant combined with Cameron Biedscheid to drain 5-of-11 buckets beyond the arc.

Louisville has been rolling in recent spots, but has been overvalued with a 1-2 ATS mark in its last three matchups as double-digit ‘chalk.’  The favorite has logged a 2-5 spread record in the last seven meetings between these foes, with another losing ticket coming for the Cardinals at too high of premium here.

NCAA Picks: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +12 (Bookmaker.eu)

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