NCAA Basketball Picks: North Carolina -10 vs. Miami

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, January 8, 2014 1:44 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2014 1:44 PM GMT

The North Carolina Tar Heels rarely find themselves in a triple-revenge situation, as they prepare to host the Miami Hurricanes Wednesday night. SBR Forum's Jeff Grant is here to help you determine if which line is worth backing with you sports picks this evening.

Let’s take a closer look at the NCAA basketball lines for this Atlantic Coast Conference matchup at the Smith Center, with the opening tip scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPN2.

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Close encounter

Miami had its three-game winning streak snapped in suffering a 49-44 setback to the Syracuse Orange as 13-point road underdogs last time out, while going UNDER the betting total of 123.

The Hurricanes were expected to experience a drop off in terms of performance this season, as they were the only ACC team to return zero starters.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 8-10 SU and 3-12 ATS after scoring 60 or fewer points.

Caught looking ahead

North Carolina was certainly looking ahead to this triple-revenge situation, as it dropped a 73-67 decision to the Wake Forest Demon Deacons as 6.5-point road favorites Sunday—despite finishing with a 53-34 rebounding margin.

The Tar Heels also owned a 24-8 advantage on the offensive glass, but were unable to overcome a 38.7 percent shooting performance.

Since the 2011-12 campaign, the team is 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival, with the UNDER going 5-4 in that situation.

Winning with defense

College basketball handicappers will have an interest in backing the road underdog in this spot, as the Hurricanes rank 12th nationally in allowing just 59.5 points per game.

It’s important to point out that the squad is 1-3 SUATS versus teams that average 77-plus points per game during the 2013-14 campaign.

Giving to charity

The Tar Heels will cover this double-digit spread if they continue to improve on the free throw line, as they’ve knocked down just 62.4 percent of their attempts this season, but have converted 70.8 percent over their last four contests.

North Carolina has attempted 197 more shots from the charity stripe than Miami.

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Tar Heels for their college basketball picks, as the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in this series.

North Carolina will dominate the offensive glass and point guard Marcus Paige will be the star of the game.

NCAA Basketball Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels -10

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