Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
The Hurricanes may still be undefeated in ACC play, but they certainly haven't had an easy time staying that way over their last three games.
Miami's past three wins were all decided by six points or less. That includes road wins over Florida State (74-68) and Clemson (45-43) and a home victory against Virginia (54-50).
Essentially all of the Hurricanes' dominant wins have come on their own floor, while it appears opposing conference opponents have finally figured out how to stay competitive with this very talented Miami team.
As for Wake Forest, their 11-14 SU overall record gets canceled by the fact they've gone 9-4 SU at home. Already this season they've beaten NC State, Virginia and Florida State while losing by just five to Duke.
C.J. Harris and Travis McKie are the leaders for the Demon Deacons, but freshmen Devin Thomas and Codi Miller-McIntyre have bright futures too. Thomas has had some big-time efforts in his first season, including a 25-point/14-rebound/4-block performance in the victory over the Wolfpack.
With the Demon Deacons at an excellent 7-3-1 ATS at home this season, we think this may be too many points, regardless of Miami's impressive winning streak. The longer the home team can hang around here and keep the crowd in it, the better chance they have of taking this one down to the wire.
We like the Demon Deacons to bring it again at home and therefore will be taking them to beat the college basketball odds.
NCAAB Picks: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +8
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks
The Horned Frogs have been a good fade for us this season and we're going to go right back to that angle today.
It wasn't too long ago that TCU recorded one of the biggest upsets we've seen in quite some time in a 62-55 home win over Kansas. However, it's hard to envision any scenario in which the Horned Frogs even manage to keep today's rematch close.
TCU is one of the least efficient offensive teams in college basketball. They average 53.3 PPG on 39.5 percent shooting overall and 28.7 percent from three – on the road, those numbers go to 49.1 PPG on 36.9 percent shooting. On the other side, the Jayhawks are putting up 78.4 PPG on 47.4 percent shooting in Lawrence this season. Kansas also owns a distinct advantage on the glass and in practically every other important statistical category.
We're a little wary about laying the 24 points on the full spread, as we're leaving ourselves open to one of those killer backdoor covers.
With that being said, we're going to back the Jayhawks to come out without mercy in the first half. Kansas is ranked #7 in the nation in average first-half scoring margin, outscoring opponents by 7.9 points.
This TCU team has been so ineffective, especially offensively, that we just don't see them keeping pace with a motivated Kansas team out for revenge at home. The Jayhawks have built up some momentum with three straight wins, including two over ranked opponents, and we look for them to carry that over early on.
Don't be surprised if this one gets ugly quickly.
NCAA Picks: Kansas Jayhawks 1H -13
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