Let’s take a closer look at the betting line for this Atlantic Coast Conference Basketball affair that will tip off at 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPN’s Full Court.
NC State’s four conference losses have come by a combined total of seven points, with each being decided in the last 10 seconds of the game. The Wolfpack will try to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a disappointing 79-78 setback to the Miami Hurricanes as a pick’ em last Saturday, while going OVER the total for the third time in four contests.
Duke has rattled off three wins in a row, including a convincing 79-60 victory over the Florida State Seminoles as six-point road favorites last time out, while going UNDER the total for the first time in six contests. The Blue Devils are now in position to win 20 games for the 17th consecutive season and the 29th time under coach Mike Krzyzewski.
College basketball handicappers always need to be aware of the revenge factor when looking over the NCAA Basketball betting odds, which is certainly in play in this matchup, with the Blue Devils dropping an 84-76 decision to the Wolfpack as one-point road favorites on Jan. 12.
Duke is 3-0 straight up and against the spread when revenging a same season loss versus an opponent the last two-plus years, with the OVER cashing in two of those opportunities.
All about the starters
There’s no doubt that this game is going to be decided by the players that are on the floor for the opening tip, as the Blue Devils receive 86.6 percent of their scoring from their starting unit, while the Wolfpack have received 94 percent of their production from their top six players.
Fatigue could definitely be a factor in the final 20 minutes, but it’s important to point out that these two teams combined to score 80 points in the final 20 minutes in the first meeting (70 in first half).
I’m going to recommend that readers add Duke to their College Basketball picks tonight. We like laying the points with the Blue Devils in this spot, as the Wolfpack will likely be playing without their floor leader in one of the tougher environments in college basketball.
NC State’s point guard Lorenzo Brown is listed as doubtful with an ankle injury, which is a major advantage for a Duke squad that owns a 1:42 to 1 assist-to-turnover ratio.
NCAA Basketball Pick: Duke Blue Devils -10.5 at 5Dimes