NCAA Basketball Picks for Michigan State vs. Purdue

Jeff Grant

Thursday, February 20, 2014 12:31 PM GMT

The Michigan State Spartans have been known to bounce back from defeat this season, as they prepare to take on the Purdue Boilermakers Thursday night. The college basketball odds are out; which side are we on?

Let’s take a closer look at the college basketball odds for this Big Ten Conference showdown at Mackey Arena, with the opening tip scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

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Fallen into a pattern

Michigan State has alternated wins and losses over its last eight games, as it attempts to bounce back from a 60-51 defeat to the Nebraska Cornhuskers as 14-point home favorites Sunday, while going UNDER the betting total of 135.

The Spartans have won all four of their games following a loss during the 2013-14 campaign.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS as road favorites of 3.5 to 6 points, with the OVER going 4-2 in that situation.

Winning at home

Purdue has captured a pair of quality home wins in its last two opportunities against the Minnesota Golden Gophers and Indiana Hoosiers, but it has also fallen into a pattern of alternating victory and defeat over its last four contests.

The Boilermakers have three probable starters averaging in double figures, with senior guard Terone Johnson leading the way at 12.2 points a contest.

College basketball handicappers will find that the team is 0-4 SUATS as home underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points since the start of the 2011-12 campaign.

House of Payne

The Spartans are worthy favorites on the SBR Odds page due to the recent play of forward Adreian Payne, who has averaged 18.3 points and 9.0 rebounds over a period of three games since returning to the floor from a foot injury.

Michigan State has compiled a solid 21-13 SU record against Purdue under the direction of longtime head coach Tom Izzo.

A bad situation

The Boilermakers have dropped all four of their games against top-25 opponents this season, while they’ve lost nine consecutive meetings in this series as an unranked participant versus a ranked Spartans squad.

Purdue has failed to cover the number in six of its last seven games at this venue—a place that use to provide the team a dominant advantage over visitors.

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Spartans as one of their college basketball picks, as they’ve gone 5-0 ATS in the last five overall meetings in this rivalry.

It’s important to keep an eye on the injury report leading up to the opening tip, as Michigan State starting point guard Keith Appling is listed as probable with a wrist injury.

College Basketball Pick: Michigan State Spartans -4.5