NCAA Basketball Picks: Michigan State vs. Duke

Steven Suarez

Monday, March 25, 2013 3:27 PM GMT

Two of the greatest coaches in the game will be going head-to-head when Duke faces off against Michigan State in the Sweet 16. The lines are tight, but where should we look with our college basketball picks?


Before placing your picks, take a look at our NCAA Tournament Betting: Sweet 16 Seeding Trends.

Odds Overview

When it comes to making your sports picks, you've got to have a good read on what the lines are and where they're moving. To help you with that, you need to be checking SBR's NCAA Basketball odds page continuously.

The Blue Devils have opened as the one-point favorites for now. For the season Duke has gone 18-16 ATS, while Michigan State has recorded a 14-16-2 ATS mark.

Duke looked much better in a 16-point win over Creighton than they did in the opening round versus little-known Albany.

Let SBR be your 2013 NCAA Tournament betting headquarters.

Duke Blue Devils

The Blue Devils did a terrific job of limiting a normally explosive Bluejays offense. Doug McDermott had 21 points, but he went just 4-of-16 from the floor, had three turnovers, and eventually fouled out.

As a team, Duke held Creighton to 30.2 percent shooting and 2-of-19 from three-point land. The Blue Devils shot 38.8 percent themselves, but they were far more balanced and has multiple guys step up on that side of things.

Rasheed Sulaimon was the big surprise though, as he went for 21 points on 5-of-9 shooting, including three big threes. Seth Curry added 17 points, and both Mason Plumlee and Tyler Thornton contirbuted at least eight points apiece.

A cover for the Blue Devils was their first since their wonderful road game against UNC. They're 3-4 ATS over their last seven.

Michigan State Spartans

Since three straight losses (Indiana, Ohio State, Michigan) in conference play, the Spartans have looked the part of a two seed. They've won five of six, with their only loss coming in the Big Ten tournament against the Buckeyes.

The tournament has been kind to Michigan State. They overcame Valparaiso by 11 in the first round, before annihilating Memphis 70-48 in the Round of 32.

It was complete dominance all-around for the Spartans. They beat the Tigers 41-25 on the glass, held them to 29.7 percent shooting, and shot 50.0 percent from the floor themselves. You know you're doing something right when you hold a deep team like Memphis to under 50 points.

With Keith Appling disappearing again, Gary Harris, Adreain Payne and Derrick Nix stepped their games up. Harris had 23 points (6-of-9 FG, 4-of-7 3PM), Payne had 14 points, 10 rebounds and five blocks, and Nix put up 13 points, eight boards and four steals.

That's two ATS cashed tickets out of two for the Spartans in the Big Dance, but this time around they'll have to deal with the underdog tag.

[gameodds]14/225543/43/us[/gameodds]

College Basketball Pick

Lucas Oil Stadium is going to be a fun place to be for this game, as two storied programs battle it out for a spot in the Elite Eight.

You couldn't ask for a better coaching matchup, that's for sure. Coach K and Coach Izzo are Hall of Fame coaches that have had numerous encounters with each other. But enough about the coaching, as we are here to lock in our NCAA Basketball picks.

We like Michigan State's toughness inside with Payne and Nix, but their backcourt is a little too hit-or-miss for our liking. The Blue Devils have the better shooters and each of them has stepped up at various times so far in the tournament.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Duke Blue Devils -1