NCAA Basketball Picks: Louisville vs. Memphis

Jeff Grant

Friday, February 28, 2014 6:19 PM GMT

Friday, Feb. 28, 2014 6:19 PM GMT

The Louisville Cardinals will be out to avenge an earlier home loss to the Memphis Tigers, as the two teams close out their regular-season series Saturday. Let’s take a closer look at the NCAA basketball odds for this American Athletic Conference matchup, with the opening tip scheduled for 2:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

Peaking at the right time

Louisville has won seven games in a row, including a 88-66 blowout victory over the Temple Owls as 22.5-point home favorites Thursday, while going OVER the betting total of 146.5.

The Cardinals entered the week as the nation’s leader in scoring margin, while ranking second with a +6.8 turnover margin.

NCAA basketball handicappers will find that the program is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 road games versus teams with a winning record.

Disappointing effort

Memphis had its two-game winning streak snapped in dropping a 77-68 decision to the Houston Cougars as 6.5-point road favorites Thursday, while it has failed to cover the number in three consecutive contests.

The Tigers are likely in position to land an at-large spot in the upcoming 2014 NCAA Tournament, but they’ll need to bounce back from their first loss to an opponent outside the RPI Top 50.

The team is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games following a spread defeat.

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Revenge

The Cardinals will be motivated to gain revenge from a 73-67 defeat to the Tigers as 10.5-point home favorites on Jan. 9, while the first meeting went UNDER the betting total of 150.5.

It’s important to point out that Louisville was playing that affair directly after its only stretch of playing three or more consecutive games away from the KFC Yum! Center.

Balanced attack

The Tigers are definitely balanced on the offensive end, as five players finished with 10 or more points in the first go around with the Cardinals—led by Joe Jackson and Shaq Goodwin with 15.

Jackson sits in the No. 9 spot in the school’s all-time scoring list, while Goodwin has recorded 20 games in double figures.

Outlook

I’m expecting the Cardinals to be sent out as four-point road favorites in the NCAA basketball odds for this affair, which could provide value to the Tigers, as the underdog is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series.

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