NCAA Basketball Picks: Look to Trends when Capping Tonight's Arizona vs. Oregon St.

Jeff Grant

Friday, January 30, 2015 1:36 PM GMT

Friday, Jan. 30, 2015 1:36 PM GMT

Arizona owns one of the longest home court winning streaks in the country, which makes it a top college basketball pick against Oregon State Friday night.

Back To Reality
Oregon State hasn’t dropped back-to-back games since Nov. 24-26, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA basketball odds, as it looks to bounce back from a 73-55 setback to the Arizona State Sun Devils as seven-point road underdogs.

The 73 points scored by the Sun Devils happens to be a season high for points allowed by the Beavers in 2014-15, as tonight’s visitor ranks 25th in the country in terms of defensive efficiency.

It’s important to point out that the squad’s last road win over a top-10 foe came back in 1976.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the Beavers are 1-3 SU and 3-1 ATS as road underdogs of 12.5 or more points, with the UNDER going 3-1 in those four opportunities.

 

Ready For Action
Arizona immediately circled this matchup after suffering a 58-56 defeat to Oregon State as 10-point road favorites on Jan. 11, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA Basketball picks, as it looks to push its current win streak to six games.

The Wildcats have won 33 consecutive home games—the second-longest streak of its kind nationally—while also capturing their last 16 contests versus conference opponents at the McKale Center.

Since the start of the 2012-13 campaign, the program is 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS when revenging a road loss versus an opponent, with the UNDER going 7-4 in that situation.

Click Here to Check Another Capper's Take on Oregon St. vs. Arizona

Key Numbers
The Beavers lead the Pac-12 in limiting opponents to 36.6 percent shooting from the field, including a 28.3 percent mark from beyond the arc.

Oregon State has done its best work on the defensive end in the opening 20 minutes—allowing just 26.0 points in the first half and 30.7 in the second frame.

 

Balanced Attack
The five players that make up the Wildcats starting lineup average between 8.8 and 14.9 points per game, with true freshman Stanley Johnson leading the way.  

Behind T.J. McConnell’s 3.21 assist-to-turnover ratio, Arizona leads the Pac-12 in that category, while it sits behind just six teams in knocking down 49.8 percent of its shots from the floor.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Wildcats as one of their top basketball picks, as the home team has covered the number in the last six installments of this rivalry.

NCAA Basketball Pick:  Arizona Wildcats -17 at Bookmaker

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