NCAA Basketball Picks: Lock New Mexico St. At Value Price Of +14 vs. Wichita State

Jake Walker

Monday, December 28, 2015 3:27 PM GMT

Monday, Dec. 28, 2015 3:27 PM GMT

The New Mexico State Aggies (7-6) visit the Wichita State Shockers (6-5) on Tuesday night. How can we beat the NCAA Basketball odds in this game?

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NBA Pick: New Mexico State +14
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes


New Mexico State Aggies
The Aggies have lost four of their last six games to fall to 7-6 on the season and just 1-4 on the road after last Wednesday's 85-70 setback at Baylor.

New Mexico State averages 72.0 points per game while shooting 46.1 percent from the floor and 32.0 percent from three-point range. Defensively, the Aggies allow 66.5 points per game and their opponents are shooting just 40.7 percent.

Pascal Siakam leads the team with 23.6 points, 11.8 rebounds and 1.8 blocks per game and Ian Baker adds 15.4 points, 3.5 assists and 1.2 steals.   

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Wichita State Shockers
The Shockers bounced back from a three-game losing streak by winning four of their last five games to move to 6-5 on the season. Wichita State is coming off an impressive 98-69 home victory against Nevada. 

Offensively, the Shockers average 71.5 points per game while shooting just 40.5 percent from the floor and 32.7 percent from behind the arc. The Wichita State defense allows 65.1 points per game and their opponents shoot 42.9 percent from the floor.

Ron Baker leads Wichita State with 15.9 points, 4.2 rebounds and 1.6 steals to go along with 3.5 assists and Fred VanVleet adds 11.6 points and 4.3 assists.

Betting Trends
New Mexico State is 1-3 ATS in away games, 1-1 ATS on 3+ days rest, 3-4 ATS vs. non-conference opponents and 2-2 ATS after a SU loss.

Wichita State is 3-6 ATS vs. non-conference opponents, 1-4 ATS on 3+ days rest, 1-4 ATS after a SU win and 0-2 ATS after an ATS win.


Final Analysis
These two teams are heading in opposite directions. Wichita State is on a roll while New Mexico State has played poorly as of late, especially away from home. However, I liked their showing in the second half against Baylor, when the Aggies hung with the Bears 40-40. Wichita State doesn't shoot the ball so well and they need someone else to step up besides Baker and VanVleet. 

Look for Pascal Siakam and the Aggies to keep the game close and cover, as NCAA Basketball odds makers might be overvaluing the Shockers because of their big win against the Wolf Pack. Take New Mexico State +14 with your NCAA basketball picks.

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