NCAA Basketball Picks: Kansas vs. Iowa State

Jeff Grant

Monday, February 25, 2013 2:35 PM GMT

Monday, Feb. 25, 2013 2:35 PM GMT

The Kansas Jayhawks and Iowa State Cyclones combined for 186 points in their first meeting during the 2012-13 college basketball season, but things may be different the second time around. 


Let’s take a closer look at the NCAA Basketball odds for this Big 12 matchup at the Hilton Coliseum, with the opening tip scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPN. 

Rolling again

The Kansas Jayhawks have won four games in a row, including a 74-48 victory over the TCU Horned Frogs as 23-point home favorites last Saturday, while collecting a push in terms of the total that closed at 122. 

The Jayhawks are 19-5 straight up and 15-8-1 against the spread in the month of February over the last two-plus seasons, while the OVER is 14-8 in that situation.

Climbing above the total

Iowa State has captured a victory in six of its last nine games, including a convincing 86-66 win over the Texas Tech Red Raiders as 18-point home favorites over the previous weekend, while climbing OVER the total in each contest during that span. 

The Cyclones have made 10 or more 3-pointers in eight of their last nine games, averaging 10.9 makes from beyond the arc in that period of time. 

Previous meeting

In one of the more exciting games in the Big 12 Conference this season, Kansas escaped with a 97-89 overtime victory over Iowa State as 11.5-point home favorites Jan. 9, while going well OVER the posted total of 148.

Bill Self improved to 17-3 all time against the Cyclones, with 16 of those wins coming as the Jayhawks coach.

The Cyclones finished with six players scoring in double figures, while the Jayhawks had five players accomplish that feat—with freshman guard Ben McLemore tallying a game-high 33 points on 10 of 12 shooting from the field.

Defending the perimeter 

Both teams shot better than 36 percent from beyond the arc in the first meeting at Allen Fieldhouse in Lawrence, which was a bit surprising, especially with the Jayhawks leading the country in defensive field goal percentage.

Iowa State is certainly one of the better 3-point shooting teams in the country, but Kansas has held foes to 29.6 percent from that area when playing away from home this year.

[gameodds]14/222145/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their college basketball picks Monday night, as the UNDER is 17-3-2 in the Jayhawks’ last 22 road games versus a team with a winning home record. 

College Basketball Prediction:  Under 144 at BetOnline

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