NCAA Basketball Picks: Ivy League Yale Back On Track & Ready To Take Harvard

Swinging Johnson

Friday, February 26, 2016 4:24 PM UTC

Friday, Feb. 26, 2016 4:24 PM UTC

Ivy League action tonight as Harvard travels to take on conference leader Yale in a rematch. Let’s peruse the NCAA basketball odds boards and find the right side to back in our college basketball picks.

Harvard Crimson (11-15 SU, 5-14 ATS)
Then Crimson have dropped seven of their last nine straight up and have torched the bankrolls of all those who have included them in their NCAA basketball picks over that stretch by going 0-9 ATS. The latest heartbreak for Harvard’s financial backers came in their last outing where the team traveled to Cornell as 2 ½ point road favorites and rallied from 21 points down to win the game 76-74 but narrowly missed covering the NCAA basketball odds boards by just half a point.

Freshman guard Tommy McCarthy had 21 points, well above his 8.8 points per game average, to lead the Crimson back from the brink of defeat. Junior center Zena Edosomwan added 10 points of his own and leads Harvard in scoring this season averaging 14 points per game and 10 rebounds per contest. The Crimson is one of the lowest scoring teams in the nation averaging just 67 points per game (302nd) but their defense has been stout holding opponents to just 67.2 points per game (68th).


Yale Bulldogs (18-6 SU, 9-5 ATS)
The Bulldogs began the season 3-0 and then battled SMU on the road as 13 ½ road dogs to a bitter conclusion, bowing 71-69. The ’Dogs then packed up and headed to Cameron Stadium, home of the perennial powerhouse Duke Blue Devils, and it did not go well. Installed as 14 ½ road underdogs Yale was exposed as a big fish in a little pond. The Blue Devils throttled the Bulldogs 80-61 which not only added a loss on their record but also cost those who backed them with a blown ATS cover. The last of their three consecutive road losses was at the hands of Albany, hailing from the America East Conference, where they were blown clean out of New York by the score of 88-54.

Fast forward and Yale has gotten very much back on track winning 13 of their last 14 games which has vaulted them to the top of the Ivy league Conference. Setting aside two unlined games during this streak, the Bulldogs have gone 9-2-1 ATS and have been a veritable ATM for those sending it in on the little Ivy school from New Haven, Connecticut. In their last outing senior forward Justin Sears matched a career high with 31 points and hauled in nine boards leading the Bulldogs to a 79-58 straight up win and ATS cover over U Penn as nine-point road chalk. Yale shot 54 percent from the floor in the victory.


Betting Analysis
There are a myriad of reasons to back Yale in this one but the point spread is the ultimate equalizer. Nevertheless, we point to Yale’s 10-0 mark at home (3-1 ATS) and the fact that they are 8-1 ATS as a favorite this season, 8-1 ATS after a conference game, and 6-0 ATS when facing a conference opponent with a losing record after 15 or more games under its collective belt.

On the other hand Harvard is 0-10 ATS against conference opponents, 0-6 ATS in February games, and 0-8 ATS after a conference game. When last these clubs met the Bulldogs drew away with a 67-55 win in Harvard’s gymnasium as seven point road dogs. That was only two weeks ago and Yale continues to motor down the stretch while Harvard has shifted into reverse since the middle of January. Let’s lay the lumber and hope Yale does not become disinterested after this game gets out of hand.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Yale -11.5
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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