NCAA Basketball Picks ISU vs. SDSU: Ace Defense Warrants Under Bet

Ross Benjamin

Friday, November 13, 2015 7:07 PM GMT

Our NCAA basketball analyst provides a betting preview on Friday’s Illinois State & San Diego State game. Join us in reading this informative piece & a NCAA Basketball pick on the total.

Cardinals and Aztecs in Friday College Basketball Opener
San Diego State will host Illinois State on Friday with a scheduled 10:00 PM ET start. Tonight will be the season opener for both teams. Illinois State returns three starters from a team that went 22-13 a season ago. San Diego State also has three returning starters from a club which went 27-9 last season. My area of focus in this article will be on tonight’s total. According to current college basketball betting odds at Heritage, they have a posted total of 128.0.

 

Tradition on Defense under Steve Fisher
Steve Fisher has really done a marvelous job since taking over as head coach at San Diego State. During recent seasons they’ve be a regular in the AP Top 25 rankings. The trademark for Aztec basketball under Fisher has been their stifling defensive play. Last season they allowed 53.9 points per game, and held opponents to a paltry 38.4% shooting from the field. Those numbers were even better at home. Visitors averaged a meager 47.1 points per game, and shot an abysmal 35.1% from the field against San Diego State. Aztecs opponents also went to the free throw line just 13 times per game last season.

 

Final Thoughts and Pick
The flip side to San Diego State’s stellar defensive play was below average offensive production. The Aztecs averaged just 61.0 points per game and shot an awful 40.0% from the field a season ago. Illinois State’s games last season averaged a relatively low 130.1 combined points scored per contest. Granted all these numbers may be a bit askew since the clock shot this season goes from 35 to 30 seconds. However, the major sportsbooks have made an accurate adjustment to this total in my professional opinion. I like this to be a slower paced and low scoring game. One of my college basketball picks on Friday will reflect that prediction.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Play UNDER the total of 128.0 (-105) at Heritage

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