NCAA Basketball Picks: Indiana vs. Michigan State

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, February 19, 2013 2:48 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 19, 2013 2:48 PM UTC

The Michigan State Spartans have won 17-straight games against the Indiana Hoosiers at the Breslin Center, as the venue gets set to host its first-ever meeting between top-five programs.

Let’s take a closer look at the betting line for this Big Ten Conference matchup, which tips off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Solid basketball

The Hoosiers lead the country in outscoring opponents by an average of 21.9 points, while sitting behind only one team in scoring 82.9 points per game.Indiana has won and covered the spread in its last three games, including an 83-55 blowout victory over the Purdue Boilermakers as 18.5-point home favorites last Saturday, while going UNDER the posted total of 140.5.

Revenge-minded host

Michigan State has put together a five-game win streak since suffering a 75-70 setback to Indiana as 9.5-point road underdogs on Jan. 27, which includes a 73-64 victory over the Nebraska Cornhuskers as nine-point road favorites last time out.

The Spartans are 9-7-1 against the spread (ATS) when revenging a road loss versus an opponent the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 9-8 in that situation.

Simple as taking the underdog?

College basketball handicappers may elect to simply take the points when this game tips off in East Lansing, especially when you consider that the Spartans are 2-12-1 ATS as home favorites of three points or less in their last 15 opportunities. The Hoosiers are 2-1 SUATS as road underdogs within the same point range over the last two-plus seasons.

Home-court advantage 

The Spartans are 18-1 all-time against the Hoosiers at this venue, including 17 straight victories in that situation. Michigan State is also a solid 6-2 when playing a game that involves top-10 teams at the Breslin Center.

Since the 2010-11 campaign, the program is 44-4 straight up and 22-18 ATS when playing in front of its home fans.


Getting it done against ranked teams

The Hoosiers have won all five of their games against foes that were ranked at the time of their matchup during the 2012-13 NCAA basketball season, which is hard to ignore when looking over the college basketball odds page. Overall, Indiana is 6-3 versus teams that have been listed in the top-25 at some point this year.


I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their NCAA basketball picks Tuesday night, as both teams should be able to limit each other on the offensive glass, while both allow opponents to shoot less than 40 percent from the field overall.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Under 141 at Bookmaker

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