NCAA Basketball Picks for Highly Motivated Big-12 Battle: Baylor vs. Texas

Joe Gavazzi

Monday, March 2, 2015 7:11 PM GMT

Monday, Mar. 2, 2015 7:11 PM GMT

Join this NCAA Basketball handicapper as he shares a valuable tip for tonight, as the Baylor Bears travel to Austin, Texas for this 7:00 pm ET tip on ESPNU against the Texas Longhorns.

Baylor vs. Texas (-3-) 7:00 ET ESPNU
Baylor is firmly entrenched among the NCAA participants.  Not the case for Texas, who is squarely on the bubble with a record of 17-12 SU, 6-10 SU in Big 12 play.  When these two teams met earlier this season in Waco, Baylor outshot Texas 48% to 39% in an 83-60 home court victory.  Now, Texas who began the year as the No. 12 ranked team in the country must win their final 2 home games of the season against this Baylor team and Kansas St. to be considered for NCAA Tourney conclusion. 

Before deciding on your NCAA basketball picks, keep in mind that Baylor is a powerful team with a 9.5 rebound margin.  Combined with the fact they allow just 59 PPG, 39% from the field and 29% from the arc, they are on the verge of Defensive Dandy status.  As they enter tonight’s play, they are secure in their invitation to the Big Dance.  Baylor is playing their best basketball of the season with 4 consecutive wins and 3 consecutive covers, after they upended a red hot WVU team (78-66) in Waco on Saturday.  In that 4 game win streak, Baylor has allowed just 57 PPG and just 40% shooting.  In covering their last 3 games, Baylor has shot 48% from the field, including knocking down 30/57 triples.  But what goes up must come down!  Such it will be when they travel to Austin tonight as underdogs in NCAA Basketball odds with great satisfaction from their accomplishments.  It is at the Erwin Center that they will meet a group of very hungry Texas Longhorns.   

The Big 12 is so strong this year it was inevitable that the teams would cannibalize each other.  Even Kansas, the league leader, has lost 4 times.  Texas has taken the worst of it with a 6-9 SU record.  This includes 4 consecutive losses to Big 12 powers, Oklahoma, Iowa St., WVU and Kansas.  Now, they must return home to a court where they are 54-14 SU L4Y.  Concerns are that they have lost on this court to 4 quality Big 12 teams, Iowa St., Oklahoma St., Kansas and Oklahoma.  Yet, the motivation of still getting to the Big Dance will lead them to their best performance of the year tonight.

On Saturday and Sunday, bubble teams (characterized by the last 8 in and last 8 out of ESPN’s Joe Lunardi) went 12-4 ATS. Clearly, the Texas Longhorns are part of that group this evening.  With an invitation to the NCAA at stake and 83-60 revenge as a motivator, we side with a Texas team who hosts a Baylor team, who may be well satisfied after their recent achievements and inclusion in the Big Dance.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Take Texas at BookMaker

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