NCAA basketball Picks: Georgia vs. Missouri

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, January 16, 2013 1:22 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jan. 16, 2013 1:22 PM UTC

The Tigers were just handed their third loss of the season and will look to quickly get back on track as they host the Bulldogs. The college basketball odds are very much in Missouri's favor – will they cover?

NCAAB Picks: Georgia vs. Missouri

Odds Overview

Most sportsbooks have opened with Missouri favored by 14 points, though 14.5 can also be found if you like the look of a play on Georgia.

At time of writing a total had not been posted by the top college basketball betting odds sites. Be sure to keep track of the lines at as we start approaching tipoff.

Georgia Bulldogs

Non-conference play didn't quite go as planned and not much has changed now that SEC action has begun for the Bulldogs.

Georgia lost seven games before conference play begun and that includes separate four and three-game losing streaks. So far the Bulldogs have played two SEC matchups, getting smacked around by 33 points by Florida and then losing 72-61 at home to Mississippi State.

As a team Georgia shot 32.8 percent from the floor in the loss to the Bulldogs. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Charles Mann were the only two players to reach double figures in scoring.

With the SU (and ATS loss), the Bulldogs have now gone 2-5 ATS over their last seven matchups ahead of tonight's game. They're also just 1-4 ATS in their previous five road contests in which lines have been made available.

A superhuman performance from Caldwell-Pope is basically needed if Georgia is to stay close with the Tigers. He's averaging 16.9 points and 6.7 rebounds per game, both of which are team-highs by a large margin.

Missouri Tigers

The Tigers may have thought they'd have an easier time in the SEC, but that hasn't been the case early on in conference play.

After opening with a fairly comfortable 84-68 win over Alabama at home, Missouri was brought back down to earth with a 15-point loss to Ole Miss. The Tigers scored just 49 points on 36.8 percent shooting overall and an 11.1 percent success rate from deep.

For a team that's used to scoring at an extremely efficient rate, it was shocking to see Missouri get stifled like that. Phil Pressey had just 10 points and finished with just as many turnovers (five) as he did assists.

It was clear as day how much Frank Haith and his guys missed Laurence Bowers out there. Bowers, who leads the team with a 16.8 PPG average, suffered a sprained MCL in the win over Alabama and is listed as doubtful to play tonight.

That's a big hole to fill, but at least the Tigers, despite a very poor showing against Mississippi, have managed to cover in four of their previous five contests that have had public lines. They're also 5-1-1 ATS over their last seven games following an ATS setback.


College Basketball Pick

Trends are nice and all, but that's not the main reason we like Missouri to get the job done tonight.

This is simply a huge mismatch. The Tigers average over 17 more points per game (76.9) than the Bulldogs (59.5) and have a tremendous advantage on the boards too. That's typically the case with Missouri, considering they're tops in the nation in rebounding at 44.7 per game.

Taking those statistics into account, as well as the fact the Tigers will be dying to prove their worth after that letdown over the weekend, and we like this price on the home team.

Back Missouri, even without Bowers, on their own floor with your college basketball picks. One man can only do so much, so we think the talented Tigers will be able to run away from Caldwell-Pope's team.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Missouri Tigers -14 at Bookmaker

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