NCAA Basketball Picks: Florida vs. Arkansas

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, February 5, 2013 1:49 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 5, 2013 1:49 PM UTC

The Florida Gators have been blowing out their opponents during their current 10-game win streak, but they’ll now travel to face a dangerous Arkansas Razorbacks’ team at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville.

Let’s take a closer look at betting lines for this SEC Basketball matchup as we try to determine where NCAAB bettors will find the best value. 

Quite a run 

Florida has won 10 consecutive games by a dominating average of 25.0 points per game, which includes a 78-64 victory over the Mississippi Rebels as 17.5-point home favorites last Saturday, while going OVER the posted total of 134. The Gators are 12-5 against the spread (ATS) as a favorite this season, while they’ve managed to cover the number in six of seven affairs away from Gainesville. 

Dangerous at home 

Arkansas improved its record to 13-1 when playing in front of its own fans, as it captured a convincing 73-60 victory over the Tennessee Volunteers as 6.5-point home favorites last Saturday. The Razorbacks are averaging 83.5 points per game on their home floor, while allowing their opponents 65.7 on 41.6 percent shooting. The program has been a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points just once since 1997.

ATS run in the series

The NCAA Basketball odds list Florida at -11.5, and bettors might find this tempting considering that Florida has won and covered the spread in the last five meetings in this series. Florida earned a 98-68 blowout win as 5.5-point road favorites in last year’s matchup, which happens to be Arkansas worst home loss since this building opened in 1993.

Stepping up versus ranked foes 

The Razorbacks will need a monster game from Marshawn Powell and BJ Young to even cover the spread against the Gators, but that duo has demonstrated the ability to raise its level of play when facing a ranked opponent. In nine career games, Young is averaging 19.1 points in that situation, while Powell has averaged 14.8 in 14 overall games.



I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their College Basketball picks tonight, as the Gators have gone UNDER the total in all three of their road games in a range of 135 to 139.5, while six of the last seven meetings in this series have fallen short of the number.

College Basketball Pick: Under 137

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