NCAA Basketball Picks: Dogs On Wednesday To Earn A Nice Payday

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, March 9, 2016 3:56 PM GMT

Our analyst shares his top two underdog plays on Wednesday’s card. He’s been a stellar 15-7 (68%) with his NCAA basketball picks over the past ten betting days.

Georgia Tech vs. Clemson 7:00 PM ET
Clemson finished the regular season by going 3-5 in its last eight games. Their three wins in that sequence included a pair of triumphs over ACC cellar dweller Boston College, and the other coming against North Carolina State. Those two teams are a combined 6-32 in ACC action this season.

Georgia Tech enters this ACC Tournament matchup with plenty of momentum. They’ve gone 5-1 over its last six games. Included in those five recent victories were impressive wins over Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Florida State, and Clemson. Their only defeat during that span came by a narrow 3 point margin at #14 Louisville, and they easily covered that contest as a 12.0 point underdog. As a matter of fact, Georgia Tech went a very profitable 7-2 ATS in ACC road games. Although this isn’t a true road game, it will be played on a neutral floor, their conference road record speaks volumes in terms of the resilience and character.

The current (10:30 AM ET) NCAA basketball odds at major sportsbooks all have the same point spread for this contest.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Georgia Tech +1
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Auburn vs. Tennessee 8:00 PM ET
One of these teams will be going home after today’s game, and there’s a very high probability the other will be doing the same following its ACC quarterfinal contest tomorrow. It comes down to the least of two evils, and I’m of the opinion that would be Auburn. These teams split their regular season meetings with the home team winning on each occasion.

Tennessee is 1-14 straight up this season, including 0-7 in its last seven, during neutral site and away games this season. That certainly doesn’t bode well for a favorite, regardless of the level its competition. The Volunteers have also gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their previous four, and lost by a sizable average of 19.0 points per game. Tennessee continues to be without the services of unequivocally their best player in Kevin Punter (22.2 PPG, 3.4 APG, & 3.5 RPG). He’ll be missing his sixth consecutive game due to a stress fracture in his foot. Tennessee is averaging just 63.0 points per game, and shooting a terrible 39.7% during this current four game losing streak. There’s little question that Punter’s absence has been a key contributing factor to the recent offensive futility. The Volunteers have also average a miniscule 13 free throw attempts per game over its last five outings.

Auburn has been an overall terrible shooting team for the vast majority of this season. However, they do possess a couple of positives that can play a key role in the outcome of Wednesday’s contest. The Tigers have been adept at getting to the free throw line of late by averaging 26 attempts per contest over its last five games. Granted they’ve only been able convert on 61.7% of those tries, but they still average 16 makes per game, and that’s three more per outing than Tennessee’s average attempts during the same time period. The Tigers are also averaging a respectable 9 three point makes per game in SEC action. Auburn’s opponent (Tennessee) on Wednesday has allowed teams to be successful on 40.0% of its long distance attempts during their previous five games.

In a battle of two floundering teams, I’m siding with the underdog in this contest for one of my NCAA basketball picks.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Auburn +3
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes