NCAA Basketball Picks for Big Ten Conference Rivalry: Indiana vs. Wisconsin

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, February 3, 2015 12:36 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 3, 2015 12:36 PM UTC

Wisconsin has absolutely owned Indiana on its home floor in recent years, which provides it betting value as a double-digit favorite at the Kohl Center Tuesday.

Taking On the Best
Indiana snapped a two-game losing streak by picking up a 72-64 victory over Rutgers as 11.5-point home favorites last Saturday, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA basketball odds, as it tries to earn its sixth win as an underdog this season.

The Hoosiers have knocked off Butler, Illinois, Maryland, Nebraska and Ohio State when receiving points in the marketplace, while they’ve out-rebounded 11 of their last 13 opponents—posting a +4.0 margin over that span.

It’s also important to point out that the program has put together a perfect 5-0 SU record in Big Ten Conference games decided by eight or fewer points.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 8-6 SUATS in the month of February.


Owning a Series
Wisconsin has won 13 of the last 14 overall meetings in this Big Ten series, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA basketball picks, as it also aims for its 13th consecutive home win over Indiana.

Badgers head coach Bo Ryan has never lost to the Hoosiers in Madison, while also putting together a 15-4 SU all-time record against Tom Crean.

Ryan’s .826 win percentage against Indiana is the second-best mark all-time among Big Ten coaches.

Since the start of the 2012-13 campaign, the program is 23-2 SU and 13-11 ATS as home favorites of 12.5 or more points, with the UNDER going 11-9 in that situation.


Offensive Firepower
The Hoosiers are 13th in the country in averaging 80.3 points, which has been made possible by knocking down 196 3-pointers due to a shooting percentage of 40.2 percent from that area.

Indiana has been a dangerous team when receiving points this season due to the emergence of James Blackmon Jr. who ranks third among all true freshman with 363 points scored and fifth in 3-point field goals made with 51.


Man In the Middle
All-American candidate Frank Kaminsky is starting to take over offensively with just six weeks until the start of the 2015 NCAA Tournament, as he’s averaging 19.4 points and 8.9 rebounds during league play.

If Indiana elects to continue playing smaller lineups, Wisconsin will feature Kaminsky in the paint, especially since Ryan’s squad ranks first in the country in terms of offensive efficiency—averaging 124.8 points per 100 possessions.


I’m going to recommend that readers back the Badgers as one of their NCAAB picks, as the Hoosiers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games in this rivalry.

NCAA Basketball Pick:  Wisconsin Badgers -14.5 at BetOnline

comment here