The Big 12 has some quality teams this year, no doubt, but chinks in their armor have been exposed in conference play. Let's see how the teams of the BIG 12 have been doing against the College Basketball Odds.
Kansas, at one time a Top 5 team, is actually 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference road games, indicating some serious overvaluation by the market of Kansas.
The teams that have been covering in the Big 12 recently have been the more mediocre teams, who are not getting enough credit on their lines when matched up against other Big 12 powerhouses or doormats. Iowa St and Texas have both been good bets in recent weeks, but to my eye, Texas is less likely to continue their covering ways than Iowa St.
Speaking of doormats, there’s no denying that TCU and Texas Tech are the dregs of the Big 12, but they have actually been quite different in terms on ATS results this year.
TCU has been an absolute disaster against the spread this year. They’ve been a double digits underdog in all of their last 8 Big 12 games, but they only managed to cover one of those huge spreads. The one cover though, did happen to come in the game where they were the biggest underdog, when they got their shocking outright win over Kansas. If you need a real-life example of the adage “anything can happen” in college basketball, there’s your game right there.
Texas Tech though, has shown to have some value in certain situations. When lined as a double digit home underdog, they have had betting value overall this season for our NCAAB picks.
I look into all of this and more in detail in my ATS update for the Big 12 covering the games through February 12th.