NCAA Basketball Picks: Bet Georgia -3.5 Over Arkansas

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, January 7, 2015 4:41 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2015 4:41 PM GMT

Georgia isn’t flashy like Arkansas in the eyes of college basketball handicappers, but it’ll cash another ticket as a home favorite Tuesday night.

Key Number
Arkansas has won all eight of its games when reaching at least 80 points this season, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA basketball odds, as it faces an opponent that surrenders just 55.4 points a contest at Stegemen Coliseum.

The Razorbacks lead the country in dishing out 19.2 assists per game, while they sit behind just eight teams in pouring in 84.5 points a night.

Forward Bobby Portis is the main player to watch in this Southeastern Conference matchup, as he has reached double figures in scoring in 16 of his last 17 contests dating back to last year.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 4-15 SU and 9-9-1 ATS as underdogs.

 

Respect
Georgia has won its last six games by an average of 13.7 points, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA basketball picks, as it has proven victorious over the likes of Colorado, Kansas State and Seton Hall over that stretch.

The Bulldogs have four of five probable starters scoring 10.9 or more points a contest, with senior forward Marcus Thornton leading the way in averaging team highs of 13.7 points and 7.2 rebounds.

Since the start of the 2012-13 campaign, the program is 22-17 SU and 25-14 ATS versus conference foes, with the UNDER going 20-9 in that situation.

 

Forcing the Tempo
The Razorbacks rank seventh in the country in terms of offensive tempo, which isn’t surprising due to the fact that they cause opponents to turn it over on 22.2 percent of their possessions.

Arkansas will try to create opportunities to knock down the 3-point shot, as it comes in shooting 38.9 percent from that area, but Georgia limits foes to 28.2 percent from beyond the arc.

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Get To the Line
The Bulldogs have the right type of personnel to handle the Razorbacks’ pressure, especially with guards Kenny Gaines and Charles Mann combining to average 24.0 points per game.

Georgia owns a huge advantage in this matchup in the half court, as it ranks seventh in the country in terms of getting to the free throw line, which will lead to some separation on the scoreboard in the final minutes.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Bulldogs as one of their main basketball selections, as the Razorbacks are 15-38 ATS in their last 53 road games.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Georgia Bulldogs -3.5 at Pinnacle.

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