NCAA Basketball Picks: Baylor vs. Kansas

Jeff Grant

Monday, January 14, 2013 12:21 PM GMT

The Kansas Jayhawks have never lost to the Baylor Bears at Allen Fieldhouse, as the two teams prepare to be featured on ESPN’s Big Monday broadcast. Let’s take a closer look at this Big 12 Conference affair from a NCAAB betting perspective.


On the road again

Baylor picked up a 51-40 victory over the TCU Horned Frogs as 18-point home favorites Saturday, while going UNDER the total for a second consecutive contest. The Bears will now try to improve upon their 2-1 straight-up record and 3-0 against-the-spread (ATS) mark when playing a true road game. It’s also important to note that the program is 2-0 ATS as road underdogs of 9.5 to 12 points over the last two-plus seasons.

Caught looking ahead?

It’s quite possible that the Kansas Jayhawks got caught looking ahead to this affair when coming away with a less-than-inspiring 60-46 win over the Texas Tech Red Raiders Saturday, while it also was off an emotional overtime victory over the Iowa State Cyclones. The Jayhawks are on an 0-3 ATS run after covering their previous four opportunities, but they might be receiving some betting value in this spot. The team is 3-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games since 2010.

House of Horrors

Sports bettors need to think twice about backing the Bears at their current number on the NCAA basketball odds page, considering they’ve gone 0-10 in road games against the Jayhawks. Baylor has lost all nine games when playing at Allen Fieldhouse, dropping those contests by an average of 17.0 points. With that being said, the road team has taken the cash in 13 of the last 14 meetings between these Big 12 Conference rivals.

Revenge

One of the more overused angles in sports handicapping is revenge, but the Jayhawks land in a particular spot that should be considered Monday night. Kansas was bounced out of last year’s Big 12 Championship in suffering an 81-72 setback to Baylor as 6.5-point neutral-site favorites, while going OVER the total for the fourth time in the last five meetings. Monday’s host is 22-0 SU and 14-8 ATS in all revenge games when playing at this particular venue.

Jackson must be spectacular

Pierre Jackson has scored in double figures in 23 straight games, averaging 18.6 points and 6.3 assists during that streak for the Bears, which makes him one of the most important players on the floor. He actually leads the conference in scoring, which was to be expected after being named Big 12 Preseason Player of the Year before the 2012-13 campaign tipped off.

[gameodds]14/217320/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Jayhawks as one of their NCAA basketball picks, as they’ve gone 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS as home favorites of 9.5 to 12 points over the last two-plus seasons. The Bears will fall to 14-27 ATS against conference foes during the same span.

College Basketball Pick: Kansas Jayhawks -10.5 at Pinnacle