NCAA Basketball Picks: Back TCU To Cover Large Spread vs. Oklahoma

Jake Walker

Monday, February 1, 2016 11:12 PM GMT

The TCU Horned Frogs (10-11) visit Lloyd Noble Center to take on the No. 1 Oklahoma Sooners (18-2). Oklahoma is favored by 19.5 points and the total has not been set.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: TCU +19.5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

TCU Horned Frogs
The TCU Horned Frogs snapped their five-game losing streak with last Saturday's 75-63 come-from-behind win against the Tennessee Volunteers in the Big 12-SEC Challenge. Malique Trent scored 14 of his 15 points in the second half, when TCU had a pair of 10-0 runs and rallied from 14 points down.

TCU averages 68.6 points per game on 41.5 percent shooting and 32.4 percent shooting from three-point range while grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game. The TCU defense allows 68.3 points per game and their opponents shoot 43.0 percent from the floor, 32.2 percent from three-point range and pull down 32.0 rebounds per game. 

Malique Trent leads the Horned Frogs with 11.4 points, 2.9 assists and 1.8 steals, Vladimir Brodziansky averages 10.7 points and 4.9 rebounds and Chauncey Collins adds 10.4 points per game.

 

Oklahoma Sooners
The Oklahoma Sooners have won three straight games, including last Saturday's hard-fought 77-75 road victory against the LSU Tigers. Buddy Hield made seven of his eight 3-pointers in the second half to finish the game with 32 points and Isaiah Cousins hit a go-ahead jumper with 4 seconds left as Oklahoma overcame a 14-point deficit.  

Oklahoma scores 85.4 points per game (sixth in the nation) and shoots 47.6 percent from the floor and a nation-best 46.8 from three-point range while pulling down 41.1 rebounds per game. Defensively, they allow 71.6 points per game and they let their opponents shoot just 39.4 percent from the floor, 32.5 percent from beyond the arc and grab 33.2 rebounds per game.      

Buddy Hield leads the Oklahoma offense with 26.2 points per game, Jordan Woodard averages 14.4 points and 1.7 steals and Isaiah Cousins adds 13.3 points, 4.3 rebounds and 4.6 assists.

 

Betting Trends
TCU is 7-6 ATS as an underdog, 3-5 ATS against conference opponents and 3-2 ATS after an ATS win.

Oklahoma is 9-9 ATS, 4-4 ATS in home games, 4-4 ATS as a home favorite and 3-5 ATS after an ATS loss. 

 

Final Analysis
Oklahoma is a 19.5-point favorite on the NCAA Basketball odds board and the total has not been set. The Sooners are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and they might be looking ahead to next Saturday's visit to Kansas State, which means that they could rest some of their starters if they get a comfortable lead early on, facilitating a late ATS cover by TCU. I like Oklahoma to win this game by a wide margin but not enough to cover. I'm taking TCU +19.5 with one of my NCAA Basketball picks.