NCAA Basketball Picks: Back Purdue -6 To Cover ATS vs. Wisconsin

Jake Walker

Tuesday, December 29, 2015 1:39 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 29, 2015 1:39 PM UTC

The No. 14 Purdue Boilermakers (12-1) travel to Kohl Center in Madison to face the Wisconsin Badgers (8-5). What team should you lean towards with your NCAA Basketball picks?

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Purdue -6
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


Purdue Boilermakers
Purdue is coming off a 68-55 win against Vanderbilt on December 22, bouncing back from a 74-68 neutral court loss against No. 17 Butler. The Boilermakers are now 12-1 as they get ready to start Big Ten play.

The Purdue offense averages 81.0 points per game on 47.0 percent shooting overall and 35.3 percent from three-point range. The Boilermakers are very strong on defense, allowing just 58.6 points per game (sixth-best in the nation) and they hold their opponents to a nation-best 33.9 percent from the floor and 27.6 percent from beyond the arc (11th in the country).       

The Boilermakers have four players that score in double figures, led by A.J. Hammons (13.3 points and 8.2 rebounds). Isaac Haas adds 12.2 points and 5.4 rebounds, Caleb Swanigan averages 11.3 points and a team-best 9.2 rebounds and Rapheal Davis contributes with 10.8 points per game.

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Wisconsin Badgers
Wisconsin has won two straight games to improve to 8-5. Last Wednesday's 84-79 victory against Green Bay exposed the Badgers, as the Phoenix outscored them 52-36 in the second half and almost completed the upset.  

The Badgers average 70.5 points per game and shoot 42.0 percent from the floor and 33.6 percent from three-point range. Defensively, they allow 65.0 points per game and their opponents shoot 41.9 percent overall and 37.3 percent from beyond the arc.

Nigel Hayes leads the team with 16.2 points and 4.2 assists and he also pulls down 6.4 rebounds per game. Bronson Koenig averages 14.4 points per game, Ethan Happ adds 11.4 points and 8.3 rebounds and Vitto Brown rounds out the offense with 10.4 points and 7.0 rebounds. 


Betting Trends
Purdue is 7-2 ATS, 6-2 ATS as a favorite and 6-2 ATS after a SU win. Wisconsin is 4-9 ATS, 3-6 ATS in home games, 0-4 ATS on 3+ days rest and 1-6 ATS after a SU win.


Final Analysis
Purdue is favored by 6 points on the NCAA Basketball odds board and with good reason. The Boilermakers are much better than the Badgers on both sides of the court and the betting trends also indicate that the visitors are a smart choice for our NCAA basketball picks. Look for Purdue and their solid defense to contain Wisconsin and start conference play with a convincing win on the road.

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