NCAA Basketball Picks: Back Oregon St. In Civil War Game vs. Oregon

Jake Walker

Friday, February 19, 2016 9:43 PM GMT

Friday, Feb. 19, 2016 9:43 PM GMT

The Oregon State Beavers (15-9) visit the No. 16 Oregon Ducks (20-6) at Matthew Knight Arena. Oregon is favored by 10.5 points on the NCAA Basketball odds board and the total has not been set.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Oregon State +10.5
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

 

Oregon State Beavers
The Oregon State Beavers saw their three-game winning streak come to an end after last Saturday's 83-71 road loss against the California Golden Bears. Oregon State never led but they were down just 67-61 with 5:07 left in the game before California pulled away down the stretch. Tres Tinkle had 22 points and five rebounds for the Beavers.

Oregon State scores 71.0 points per game and shoots 43.9 percent from the floor and 36.0 percent from three-point range and they pull down 34.2 rebounds per game. The Beavers allow 68.5 points per game and their opponents shoot 42.4 percent overall and 32.2 percent from beyond the arc and pull down 33.6 rebounds per game. Gary Payton II leads the team with 16.1 points, 7.7 rebounds, 5.2 assists and 2.5 steals and Tres Tinkle adds 12.5 points and 5.3 rebounds.

 

Oregon Ducks
The Oregon Ducks are coming off two straight road losses, so they're definitely looking forward to coming back home. Oregon lost 76-72 at Stanford last Saturday, when they couldn't find a way to stop Rosco Allen, who tied his career-high with 25 points, making four of five three-pointers and nine of 12 shots overall. Dillon Brooks finished with 24 points and five rebounds in the loss.  

The Ducks average 77.3 points per game on 46.6 percent shooting overall and 34.2 percent shooting from three-point range and they pull down 35.4 rebounds per game. Defensively, Oregon allows 68.3 points per game and their opponents shoot 42.3 percent from the floor and 36.0 percent from beyond the arc and grab 30.5 rebounds per game. Dillon Brooks leads the Ducks with 17.2 points per game, Elgin Cook averages 13.3 points and 1.4 steals and Tyler Dorsey adds 12.7 points per game. 
 
 

Betting Trends
Oregon State is 12-11 ATS, 7-6 ATS against conference opponents, 6-4 ATS on 3+ days rest and 5-3 ATS after a SU loss and 6-4 ATS after a SU loss.

Oregon is 13-9-1 ATS, 8-5 ATS against conference opponents, 10-7 ATS as a favorite, 5-4-1 ATS on 3+ days rest, 3-2 ATS after a SU loss and 4-3 ATS after an ATS loss.   

 

Final Analysis
Oregon is a 10.5-point favorite on the NCAA Basketball odds board and the total has not been set. These two teams met on January 3 and the Beavers beat the Ducks 70-57 behind 19 points from Tres Tinkle. Oregon was outrebounded 37-32 and the Beavers limited them to 35.8 percent shooting. Five Oregon State players scored in double figures that day and that's one of the keys for them to stay in this game.

Oregon is the better team but I can't lay so many points with them because of how poorly they're playing lately. Oregon State proved that they can beat Oregon and even though I don't see them winning this game, they will score enough points to keep things close and cover ATS, as we get closer to March Madness. I like Oregon State +10.5 for one of my NCAA Basketball picks

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