NCAA Basketball Picks: Back Florida State To Cover ATS vs. Louisville

Jake Walker

Wednesday, January 20, 2016 3:07 PM GMT

The Florida State Seminoles (12-5) visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the No. 17 Louisville Cardinals (14-3). Louisville is favored by 10 points on the NCAA Basketball odds board.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Florida State +10
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle 

 

Florida State Seminoles
Florida State bounced back from three straight losses by winning their last two games, including last Sunday's 69-62 upset victory against No. 13 Virginia, which ended a five-game losing streak against ranked opponents. Dwayne Bacon led the way with 18 points and nine rebounds, keeping the Seminoles in the game in the first half with 11 points as they trailed 28-25 at halftime and Malik Beasley finished with 17 points.

The Seminoles average 80.2 points per game on 46.1 percent shooting and they grab 35.3 rebounds per game. Defensively, they allow 72.9 points per game and their opponents shoot 43.0 percent from the floor and pull down 30.9 rebounds per game. Malik Beasley averages team-bests with 17.1 points and 5.9 rebounds and Dwayne Bacon adds 16.7 points and 5.4 rebounds.

 

Louisville Cardinals
Louisville got back on track after a 66-62 loss at Clemson with an impressive 59-41 home win against No. 20 Pittsburgh. Sophomore center Chinanu Onuaku had 18 points and 10 rebounds for his fourth consecutive double-double, to go with three blocks and Damion Lee scored 18 points as well. The Cardinals forced the Panthers to shoot just 29 percent.

Offensively, Louisville scores 80.5 points per game and shoots 49.3 percent from the floor, pulling down 28.1 rebounds per game. The Cardinals have the second-best defense in the nation, allowing just 57.8 points per game on 35.7 percent shooting (2nd best in the nation) and their opponents grab 28.1 rebounds per game.

Damion Lee leads Louisville with 16.7 points and 1.6 steals, Trey Lewis adds 12.6 points per game and Chinanu Onuaku averages 10.5 points and 8.8 rebounds.
 


Betting Trends
Florida State is 7-6 ATS, 4-2 ATS as an underdog and 3-1 ATS as an away underdog. Louisville is 7-6 ATS, 1-3 ATS against conference opponents and 5-5 ATS after a SU win.

 

Final Analysis
Louisville is a 10-point favorite on the NCAA Basketball odds board and the total for this game has been set at 140.5. Both teams are coming off huge wins and they have young, talented playmakers that can make a difference. The key matchup in this game will be Florida State's high powered offense against Louisville's solid defense. Better defense will help Louisville get the win but I see Florida State scoring enough points to cover. I like Florida State +10 for one of my NCAA Basketball picks.