NCAA Basketball Picks: AAC Conference Tournament Odds

Peter Loshak

Wednesday, March 12, 2014 6:43 PM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 12, 2014 6:43 PM UTC

Louisville has emerged as the clear-cut best team in the AAC heading into the conference tournament, and that is reflected in their market odds to win the tourney, which have them at around -145, despite the fact that they are tied with Cincinnati in the standings for first place.

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Cincinnati has been priced at +600, amazingly, with Memphis, three games back in the standings behind Cincinnati and Louisville, the second choice at NCAA Basketball odds of +400.

Memphis has struggled a bit ATS-wise to the finish line of the regular season, they went 2-4 ATS over their last 6 games, while The Louisville Cardinals havs admittedly been playing great, and covering, going 6-3 ATS in their final 9 regular season games.

So perhaps the market is correct that Louisville will not likely get a serious challenge from any team in this tournament, although that line on Cincinnati is an outlier, at least on paper.

The hottest teams against the spread heading into the tournament come from the lower ranks of the AAC. Houston went 6-1-1 ATS over their last 8 games, Temple went 5-2 ATS over their last 7, and Rutgers went 4-1 ATS over their last 5.

Houston might not get a spot where they’ll have line value though, as they have a tough road in the tournament. First they play SMU, one of the upper-tier teams in the conference which has also consistently been a good bet this year, and then if Houston manages to get past SMU, they’ll run up against Louisville.

But Temple and Rutgers could both be good bets to keep it going, at least in their opening round games. Temple faces Central Florida, a team that has been a terrible bet all season long, and Rutgers faces South Florida, who has lost 6 of their last 8 games against the spread.

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