NCAA Basketball Pick: Texas-San Antonio -1 over San Jose State

LT Profits Sports Group

Thursday, March 7, 2013 5:00 AM GMT

San Jose State is 0-12 since suspending James Kinney for the season, and while Texas San Antonio is tied with the Spartans at 3-13 in WAC play, UTSA has won three of its last four.

The home team has shown no life since suspending its leading scorer, and do not expect that to change on Thursday night when the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners (8-20, 4-10 away) pay a visit to those San Jose State Spartans (9-18, 5-8 home) at The Event Center Arena in San Jose, CA at 10:00 ET.

The point spread at 5 Dimes has Texas-San Antonio as a tiny favorite for this contest with the current line at -1 with odds of -105.

San Jose State was off to a 9-6 start this season including 3-1 inside the WAC following a non-conference win over New Orleans on January 8th, but the Spartans suspended leading scorer James Kinney for the season following that game for violating an unspecified team rule and they have not won in the two months since, dropping 12 straight games.

Kinney was averaging 20.6 points at the time of his suspension, and the only Spartan on the current roster that is averaging double-digits is Chris Cunningham at a modest 10.4 points per game, so needless to say it has been an offensive struggle for the Spartans during conference play.

San Jose State is ranked dead last in the 10-team WAC in offensive efficiency, effective field goal percentage, two-point percentage and three-point percentage, a dubious combination that has led to a measly 57.1 points per game during conference play. On a national level, the Spartans rank 324th in offensive efficiency and 342nd out of 347 Division I teams in effective field goal percentage at 41.3 percent.

As if that were not bad enough, the defense is now starting to go to pieces too, allowing 88 and 81 points respectively in the last two games to Louisiana Tech and Texas-Arlington, and not only has San Jose lost 12 straight games but it is also only 3-9 ATS in those games including 2-9 on the last 11 contests.

Now, UTSA is tied with San Jose State on the WAC standings at 3-13 in the Roadrunners’ first season in the conference, but at least they continue to play hard and show a pulse. In fact, the Roadrunners just had a three-game winning streak, which included a non-conference BracketBuster day win over Nichols State, snapped with a loss to Seattle on Saturday.

UTSA now seems to be in a good spot to avenge an 80-67 home loss to these Spartans back on New Year’s Eve when Kinney was still active and led the way for San Jose with 22 points.

Look for San Antonio to get its revenge vs. what is now a dead team on San Jose State’s own court on Thursday.

[gameodds]14/223410/19-238-93-92-1096/us[/gameodds]

NCAA Basketball Pick: Texas-San Antonio -1 (-105)