NCAA Basketball Pick: Oregon State Beavers -8 over Towson Tigers

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, December 18, 2013 5:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 18, 2013 5:00 AM UTC

The Oregon State Beavers have been one of the best shooting teams in the country thus far and they should get revenge Wednesday for a home loss to Towson last year.

There could be a blowout in store with one of the best shooting teams in the country seeking revenge Wednesday night for a shocking upset loss here at home last season when the Towson Tigers (7-4, 0-3 away) pay a visit to those Oregon State Beavers (5-2, 4-1 home) at Gill Coliseum in Corvallis, OR at 10:00 ET in a game available on Pac-12 Network.

The point spread at Pinnacle Sports has Oregon State as a decided favorite for this contest with the current line at -8 with odds of -116.

This season did not get off to a good start for Oregon State as the Beavers were upset at home by Coppin State 78-73, but remember that Devon Collier missed that game while serving a suspension and the Beavers have gone 5-1 including 4-0 at home while shooting lights-out since Collier returned in a win over Portland in the second game of the year, a streak that also includes a nice 90-83 road win over the Maryland Terrapins.

Towson is considered a top contender to win the CAA this season and the Tigers are 7-4, but the problem with that record is that they are 7-0 at home while losing three true road games and another on a neutral floor against a weak opponent.

And you can bet that the Beavers have not forgotten what happened when the Tigers visited Corvallis last year when they shocked Oregon State 67-66 in overtime as 14-point underdogs. The Beavers seem primed for some major revenge right now with a team that leads the entire country in field goal percentage at 54.9 percent overall and that shooting percentage is a fantastic 57.8 percent since Collier returned following the opening night loss!

Collier is averaging 22.7 points per game on an amazing 69.4 percent shooting from the floor, which is second best in the country, and he has now scored at least 20 points in seven straight games, the longest such streak for an Oregon State player since Gary Payton, who did it in 1990. And Collier does not even lead the team in scoring! That honor goes to stat-filler Roberto Nelson, who is averaging 24.7 points, 4.9 assists, 1.6 steals and even 3.1 rebounds as a guard.

Oregon State simply does not miss shots closer to the basket, ranking second in the country in two-point shooting percentage at a blazing 61.1 percent, and given that Towson does not apply much pressure while ranking a poor 337th out of 351 Division I teams in defensive turnover percentage, we like the Beavers’ chances of running up the score while getting basically whatever shots they want offensively.

Now the Tigers are certainly a spunky club at home where they have yet to lose a game this season, and even their first two road losses were to be expected at Kansas and Villanova. However, their other two losses have us questioning how that can stay in this game in hostile Pac-12 territory vs. a revenge-minded team as they lost on the road at Stephen A. Austin by 10 points and, perhaps worst of all, they lost on a neutral floor to Sam Houston State.

Sam Houston is currently ranked 201st overall on the Pomeroy Ratings, which is a bad omen for this trip to Corvallis, so look for Oregon State to get its revenge in emphatic fashion with a double-digit win on Wednesday.


NCAA Basketball Pick: Oregon State -8 (-116)

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