NCAA Basketball: Pick Louisville -11 vs. Indiana

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, December 9, 2014 2:21 PM GMT

Louisville has enjoyed tremendous success when playing at Madison Square Garden in recent years, which makes it a top college basketball pick against Indiana Tuesday.

Press the Action
Louisville owns a top-five defense nationally by nearly every statistical measure, which is important to consider when making your NCAA basketball picks, as it looks to improve upon its 2-0 SU record against Big Ten Conference opponents this year.

The Cardinals opened the season with an impressive 81-68 victory over the Minnesota Golden Gophers as 9.5-point neutral-site favorites, while also capturing a 64-55 decision versus the Ohio State Buckeyes as nine-point home favorites on Dec. 2.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS as neutral court favorites of 9.5 to 12 points, while the OVER is 6-1 in that situation.

 

Leaving Bloomington
Indiana is 7-1 SU and 4-4 ATS through eight games of the 2014-15 campaign, which can’t be ignored when looking over the NCAA basketball odds, as it prepares to play away from home for the first time.

The Hoosiers lead the Big Ten in averaging 88.4 points per game on 52.4 percent shooting, while they also manage to knock down 9.7 three-point shots per contest. It’s important to point out that the squad is 6-6 SU and 4-8 ATS on a neutral floor in its last 12 opportunities.

 

A Special Place
The Cardinals deserve to be double-digit favorites in this Jimmy V Classic matchup, as they’ve proven victorious in 10 of their last 11 games at this historic venue, including a streak of eight consecutive wins. Louisville also owns a 27-5 SU record in December over the last four years, with forward Montrezl Harrell being on the floor for a majority of those victories—entering this game averaging team highs of 16.1 points and 9.4 rebounds.

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Guard Play
The Hoosiers must take care of the basketball in hopes of pulling off the upset, which means that freshman James Blackmon Jr. and junior Yogi Ferrell must play at a high level. Indiana’s top scoring duo are averaging a combined 37.5 points per game, but it must be careful handling the ball on the perimeter, as Louisville scores 28 percent of its points off turnovers.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Cardinals as one of their top NCAA basketball picks, as they’ve gone 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games on a neutral floor.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Louisville Cardinals -11 Bookmaker