NCAA Basketball Pick: Georgia State -4½ over NC Wilmington

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, February 6, 2013 5:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 6, 2013 5:00 AM UTC

Georgia State has won six of its last seven games and it has had one of the best offenses during CAA play, while NC Wilmington has struggled on both sides of the ball all season long.

The visiting team seems to have a decided edge on Wednesday when those Georgia State Panthers (12-12, 4-7 away) pay a visit to the NC Wilmington Seahawks (8-14, 7-2 home) at Trask Coliseum in Wilmington, NC at 7:00 ET.

The point spread at Bodog has Georgia State as a road favorite for this contest with the current line at -4½ with odds of -110.

Georgia State was once 6-11 at one point this season, but the Panthers have won six of their last seven games to reach the .500 mark and they shot 53.8 percent from the field vs. Old Dominion in their latest 83-63 victory on Saturday.

All of that recent success has come inside the Colonial Athletic Association, leaving the Panthers with a 7-4 conference mark, part of a four-way tie for third in the conference. Northeastern leads the CAA with a sparkling 9-1 mark, followed by Delaware at 6-3. Georgia State has two home games coming up vs. Towson and Hofstra after this game before a big road date at George Mason, so a win here on the road would keep the Panthers alive in the conference mix.

The Panthers are averaging 67.0 points per game overall this season, but that average jumps to 70.4 points during Colonial play. In fact, Georgia State ranks second in the conference in both offensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage during league play, and it leads the conference in offensive turnover percentage at just 16.7 percent, which compares very favorably to the national average of 20.4 percent.

Furthermore, Georgia State has scored at least 71 points in six of its last eight games and 69 points in another, with the only recent poor offensive performance coning in the lone loss 68-57 at Drexel. The Panthers are ranked a respectable 80th in the country in three-point shooting at 35.9 percent and that goes up to a hefty 39.1 percent in CAA play, thanks to freshman R.J. Hunter connecting on an impressive 15 of his last 26 shots from beyond the arc!

NC Wilmington has had its struggles in both sides of the ball this season, ranking just 281st in offensive efficiency and 263rd in defensive efficiency. The Seahawks have been a simply atrocious shooting team, ranking 300th in offensive efficiency while shooting just 43.2 percent on two-point attempts and 32.7 percent on three-pointers. For good measure, they are also 308th in offensive turnover percentage.

And that is not to mention a defense that ranks ninth in efficiency during conference play. Do not get fooled by Wilmington’s 7-2 home record either, as its only quality home win was over George Mason, and even the Patriots are only ranked 122nd on the Pomeroy Ratings.

Look for Georgia State to prevail and to prevail rather handily on the road Wednesday.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Georgia State -4½ (-110)

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