NCAA Basketball Pick: Boston College vs. Georgia Tech

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, February 12, 2014 5:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 12, 2014 5:00 AM UTC

Two of the bottom three teams in the ACC try to turn their seasons around when the Boston College Eagles visit the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Wednesday.

There could be a mild upset in a matchup of two ACC bottom dwellers Wednesday night when the Boston College Eagles (6-17, 1-8 away) pay a visit to the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (12-12, 8-5 home) at McCamish Pavilion in Atlanta, GA at 7:00 ET in a game available on ESPN3.

The point spread at Bet365 has Boston College as a small road underdog for this contest with the current line at +2½ with odds of -110.

Besides being just 6-17, Boston College is now 14th in the 15-team ACC with a 2-8 conference mark after getting blown out by Duke 89-68 on Saturday, and while Georgia Tech has a more respectable 12-12 overall mark, the Yellow Jackets are also a futile 13th in the ACC at 3-8.

These teams are not separated by all that much on the Pomeroy Ratings despite the disparity in the overall records, with Georgia Tech ranked 129th overall and Boston College ranked 151st. Part of the reason for that was that Georgia Tech faced an easy non-conference schedule ranked 331st in SOS while going 9-4 prior to ACC play, while Boston College at least struggled vs. an excellent non-conference slate ranked 22nd in SOS.

In fact, Boston College has now faced the second strongest schedule in the country overall, and that should serve the Eagles well here with this decided drop in class after taking on two teams ranked in the top 10 on Pomeroy in the last two games in Duke and Virginia. And more importantly, despite their conference record, the Eagles have been competitive vs. good competition such as losing to Virginia, Notre Dame and Syracuse by 10 points or less!

Boston College has been fine offensively, in fact ranking an excellent 32nd in the country in offensive efficiency and fourth in the conference in that department. Boston College actually leads the conference in effective field goal percentage during ACC play, leading in two-point shooting at 51.5 percent while also hitting a good 38.5 percent of its three-pointers.

Best of all for the Eagles, they can practically run whatever they want offensively here because they do not turn the ball over all that much at 17.7 percent of the time vs. a national average of 18.5 percent and Georgia Tech does not apply any pressure, ranking 309th in the land in defensive turnover percentage at 16.0 percent, a figure that has actually dropped to an even worse 14.8 percent vs. ACC foes.

The problem for Boston College has been a defense that is ranked 309th nationally in efficiency and 282nd in effective field goal percentage allowed. However, Georgia Tech may not be equipped to take advantage of that weakness.

The Yellow Jackets are just 223rd in the country and 13th inside the ACC in offensive efficiency as well as 238th nationally and 10th in the conference in effective field goal percentage, and they are actually getting worse as they scored 41 and 45 points in their last two games respectively.

A lot of that has to do with leading scorer Trae Golden trying to play through a groin injury, but he was obviously not himself while being held scoreless in just 18 minutes of action in the 64-45 home loss to Virginia on Saturday. And that was on the heels of scoring just three points in eight minutes in his previous game.

With Golden hobbled for Georgia Tech and with the Yellow Jackets representing a class drop from the teams that the Eagles have been doing battle with lately, this looks like a golden opportunity for Boston College to notch just it second true road win of the year on Wednesday.


NCAA Basketball Pick: Boston College +2½ (-110)

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