NCAA Basketball Pick: Back Virginia -16.5 Over Davidson

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, December 30, 2014 1:58 PM GMT

Virginia owns the nation’s longest active streak in holding opponents under 70 points, which makes it a top college basketball pick against Davidson Tuesday.

Plenty of Firepower
Davidson leads the nation in scoring 87.8 points a contest, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA basketball odds, as it has knocked down an average of 11.5 3-pointers per game.

The Wildcats have three projected starters averaging double figures, with Peyton Aldridge, Jack Gibbs and Tyler Kalinoski all shooting over 43.2 percent from beyond the arc.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS versus ACC opponents.

 

Clamping Down
Virginia ranks in the top five nationally in 11 defensive categories, which can’t be ignored when making your college basketball picks, as its surrendering just 46.2 points per game—eight fewer than its previous school record set a couple years ago.

The Cavaliers have held opponents under 70 points in a national-leading 17 consecutive contests—fitting nicely with their current 17-game win streak at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville.

It’s important to point out that the squad is 9-0 SU and 5-4 ATS in its last nine opportunities as home favorites of 12.5 or more points.

 

Falling Short
The Wildcats are 14-89 SU all-time against ranked opponents, but they’ve dropped 18 of their last 19 affairs in that situation.

Davidson suffered a 70-57 setback to Virginia as 9.5-point home underdogs last year, as it shot just 30.6 percent from the floor and was out-rebounded by a 42-26 margin.

 

Sweeping the Atlantic
Sports bettors will find that the Cavaliers will play their fourth and final Atlantic 10 Conference regular season opponent, as they’ve captured the first three meetings against George Washington, La Salle and VCU.

Virginia also has a trio of players averaging double figures in its starting lineup, with junior Justin Anderson leading the way at 15.1 points a contest—shooting a career-best 60 percent from the 3-point area.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Cavaliers as one of their top NCAA basketball picks, as they’ve gone 11-3 SU and 9-4 ATS versus teams averaging 77 or more points per game since the 2012-13 campaign.

NCAA Basketball Pick:  Virginia Cavaliers -16.5 at Bookmaker