NCAA Basketball Pick: Back NAU +14 vs. Saint Mary

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, December 16, 2014 2:10 PM GMT

Tuesday, Dec. 16, 2014 2:10 PM GMT

Northern Arizona has failed to deliver on the road this season, but its a dangerous road underdog in facing Saint Mary’s in a sandwich situation Tuesday night.

Solid Competition
Northern Arizona is a underachieving 3-6 SU and 3-5-1 ATS through nine games of the 2014-15 season, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA basketball odds, but it has played some stiff competition outside of Flagstaff.

The Lumberjacks have dropped all four of their true road games due to allowing an average of 77.2 points on 50.7 percent shooting, with those contests coming against the likes of Middle Tennessee State, Ole Miss, Toledo and Xavier.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS after failing to cover the number in three or more consecutive contets.

 

A Quick Return
Saint Mary’s returns to McKeon Pavilion off an impressive 71-67 overtime victory over the Creighton Bluejays as 6.5-point underdogs, which can’t be ignored when making your college basketball predictions, as it will head back on the road and battle St. John’s at the conclusion of this non-conference matchup.

The Gaels have put together a solid 99-27 SU record versus non-conference opponents over the last eight years, while they’ve won at least 15 home games seven times in the previous 10 seasons.

It’s important to point out that the squad is 13-1 SU and 7-7 ATS as favorites of 12.5 or more points at this venue in its last 14 opportunities.

Check Out Our NCAA Basketball Picks of the Day

Balanced Attack
The Lumberjacks returned four of their top five offensive playmakers from a season ago, while they’ve had six different players score in double figures in the early going.

Senior guard Quinton Upshur is the main player to handicap for the visiting team, as he ranks 11th in the Big Sky Conference in averaging 14.3 points—leading the team in three-pointers made.

 

Waldow Leads the Way
The Gaels have one of the best all-around players in the country in senior forward Brad Waldow, who has knocked down over 60 percent of his shots in 98 career starts since arriving on campus.

Waldow enters averaging 21.1 points and 10.1 rebounds, with all of his scoring coming from inside the arc, as he’s yet to attempt a three-point shot in 2014-15.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Lumberjacks as one of their top NCAA basketball picks, as the Gaels are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a point spread victory.

NCAA Basketball Pick:  NAU Lumberjacks +14 at Bookmaker

comment here