NCAA Basketball Pick: ACC Tournament Boston College vs. North Carolina

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, March 11, 2015 12:20 PM GMT

Our NCAAB betting consultant will be covering today’s ACC Tournament second round game between Boston College & North Carolina. Read this insightful article, and it will provide the ultimate edge.

ACC Tourney Second Round Boston College/North Carolina
The second round of the ACC Tournament takes place on Wednesday in Greenville, North Carolina. I’m going to be covering the contest between North Carolina (31-10, 11-7) and Boston College (13-18, 5-14) which is slated to tip at 2:30 PM ET. At the time of this writing, none of the major sportsbooks had posted a line on this game, due to the uncertain status of the Tar Heels 6’9 starting center Kennedy Meeks (illness). Meeks has started 28 of 31-games this season, and averages 12.0 points in addition to 7.6 rebounds per contest.

 

The Skinny on this Matchup
The 5th seeded Tar Heels received a first round bye. The #12 seed Boston College Eagles are coming off a thrilling 66-65 opening round win over Georgia Tech. These teams met once this season, North Carolina prevailed 79-68 at Chestnut Hill, and the Tar Heels covered as a 9.5 point road favorite. Each of the previous three encounters between these teams has gone over the total.

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Boston College on a Roll
Following a 71-65 defeat at Pittsburgh on February 24th, Boston College found themselves on a futile nine game losing streak. However, since that time, they’ve reeled off three consecutive wins in a row, and covered in each of the previous four contests. During this current three game win streak, they’ve shot a torrid 54.3% from the field. The Eagles have also allowed an average of just 61.0 points per game, and held opponents to 37.4% shooting from the field during that time frame. Boston College has also seen four of its previous five games go over the total, and there was an average of 140.0 points combined scored per contest.

 

Tar Heels on an Inconsistent Run
North Carolina was less than impressive during the final stretch of the regular season. They went just 4-6 during their last ten games. Despite their recent uneven play, the Tar Heels are still the 19th ranked team in the country. Making one of your NCAA Basketball picks on North Carolina hasn’t been a pleasant experience of late. The Tar Heels have gone 6-11 ATS in their last seventeen games. However, they’ve gone a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their previous six games when facing an opponent with a losing record. The Tar Heels have seen eleven of their previous sixteen games go over the total. North Carolina is averaging a robust 78.2 points per game, and that’s 16th best nationally in that category.

 

Final AnalysisAlthough the Boston College Eagles are riding a bit of momentum right now, the truth of the matter pertaining to today’s game is that they’ll be overmatched in numerous aspects. Besides the most obvious advantages that North Carolina possesses over Boston College, rebounding is an area in which they hold the biggest edge. The Tar Heels rank 6th nationally in rebound per game differential at +8.4. Contrarily, Boston College is at a -2.6, and that’s 267th nationally. As a matter of fact, Boston College was dominated on the boards yesterday’s win over Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets had a decisive 43-24 advantage on the boards, and that singlehandedly kept them in the game. I would estimate North Carolina to be about a 13.5 point favorite today.

 

Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Play on North Carolina minus the points over Boston College at 5Dimes