We’ve taken a look at those teams that have made a practice of cashing the 'under' this year, so now it is time to look in the opposite direction. Either due to good offense or bad defense, here is the list of teams that have cashed the 'over' with regularity in this NCAA basketball season.
Arizona State, Pac 12: 9-11 SU, 7-10-2 ATS, 14-4-2 O/U
Arizona State’s high-tempo attack has it averaging 81.4 points per game, ranking ASU 43rd in the country in points scored. The Sun Devils rank 3rd in the Pac-12 in scoring behind UCLA and USC. This scoring hasn’t helped them in the win department, though, as Arizona State has the worst defense in the conference in giving up 83.8 points per game.
Even with Arizona State putting up a bunch of shots, the Sun Devils have a terrible time on the boards and rank 284th in overall rebounding. For the most part, the frontcourt of their roster is freshmen and sophomores getting outrebounded by the starting guards. Long rebounds are leading to scoring by the opposition and easy transition buckets. Arizona State is cashing the 'over' at a 6-0-1 clip on NCAA basketball picks since conference play began, with most scores covering easily. Expect this trend to continue.
Central Michigan, MAC: 12-7 SU, 8-7 ATS, 12-3 O/U
Central Michigan has gone 9-1 hitting the 'overs' in the last 10 games on NCAA basketball odds leading up to this article and has been one of the hottest teams for exceeding the total on the year. The Chippewas are in 20th in scoring in the nation but also give up the most points on defense in the MAC. Just your typical, undersized, run you out of the gym team.
Except the Chippewas only use the same 5 players on the floor for a majority of games, which would partially explain the lack of intensity on the defensive side of the ball. Their leading scorer, Marcus Keene, averages an NCAA-leading 29.8 points per game but also produces 4.3 turnovers. Turnovers lead to easy points with not much time taken off of the clock. These 'over' results are coming as a result of the up-tempo offensive system and poor defense on the roster, so we should expect them to continue throughout conference play.
Loyola-Chicago, MVC: 14-7 SU, 11-6 ATS, 13-4 O/U
It’s odd for a team to be 6th in the country in field-goal percentage, yet nearly dead last in rebounding, but such is the case with Loyola-Chicago out of the Missouri Valley Conference. Similar to the Central Michigan squad, the Ramblers have 4 players that average more than 30 minutes per game, and they all score in double digits and shoot better than 47% from the floor.
The Ramblers only give up an average of 68 points per game on the year, but Loyola-Chicago cashed 11 'overs' in a row before breaking the streak on Jan. 21 against Evansville. The highest listed total during that streak was 143.4 against Wichita State, a game that ended with 162 points scored. It seems that the books haven’t kept up with the Ramblers offense just yet, even with their defensive numbers, so tail this streak while the getting is good.