NCAA Basketball Odds Favor Road Team Due to Opponents Inconsistency When Playing Strong Defensive Teams

Jeff Grant

Monday, February 2, 2015 1:18 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 2, 2015 1:18 PM UTC

Wright State simply hasn’t measured up against top defensive teams this season, which makes Green Bay an attractive NCAA odds road favorite Monday night.

Bouncing Back
Green Bay suffered a 76-62 road defeat to Cleveland State as a pick ‘em last Saturday, which is important to consider when making your  NCAA basketball picks, as it has done a tremendous job of bouncing back from a loss in recent years.

The Phoenix have won 15 straight games following a regular season loss dating back to early January of 2013, while they attempt to finish off a series sweep of the Raiders in 2014-15.

Sports bettors will find that the program earned a convincing 79-55 win as 10-point home favorites in the first meeting—finishing with a 44-25 rebounding advantage.

Since the start of the 2012-13 campaign, the team is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS as road favorites of 3.5 to 6 points, with the OVER going 4-3 in that situation.


Emerging Patterns
Wright State has compiled a disappointing 3-7 SUATS record in its last 10 contests, which can’t be ignored when looking over the NCAA basketball odds, as it has covered the number in all three of its wins—but failed to do so in its setbacks over that period.

The Raiders have won all six of their games when out-rebounding an opponent, but they’ve compiled a 4-12 record when losing that particular battle.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 27-19 SUATS versus Horizon League opponents, but just 3-5 SUATS in that situation in 2014-15.


The Phoenix are lucky to have the best player in the league, as Keifer Sykes ranks fourth on the school’s all-time scoring list, while he poured in 28 points in the first meeting in this series.

Green Bay has benefited greatly by his strong play to close out games, as he’s scored 107 points in the second half of his first eight league games this year—knocking down 48.8 percent of his shots from the field and 88 percent from the line.


From Way Downtown
The Raiders have hit 24 three-pointers over their last two games, including a season-high 13 in a 84-76 overtime loss to Oakland as four-point road underdogs last Wednesday.

Wright State’s going to find it difficult to reach that type of number against the league’s top defensive team—a group that ranks 85th in the country in limiting opponents to 32 percent shooting from beyond the arc.


I’m going to recommend that readers back the Phoenix as one of their basketball selections, as the Raiders are 0-6 SUATS versus teams that allow 64 or fewer points on the season.

Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Green Bay Phoenix -5.5 at Bookmaker

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