NCAA Basketball Handicapping: Top Defensive Teams 2015

Saturday, January 17, 2015 5:20 PM UTC

Saturday, Jan. 17, 2015 5:20 PM UTC

Improve your NCAA Basketball picks by learning from this professional handicapper who shares tips on the top Defensive teams.

<p style="text-align:center"><a href="" target="_blank" title="NCAA Basketball Handicapping: Top Offensive Teams 2015"><em>Check out Joe Gavazzi's Top Offensive Rankings here.</em></a></p> <p>This is the 2<sup>nd</sup> list of NCAA Basketball Defensive Dandies for the 2015 season.  Numbers created in the chart below are through Monday, January 12, 2015.  Qualifications for Defensive Dandies include the following minimum standards necessary to be a part of the Defensive Dandy Club.</p> <p>1.      Allow 67 or less points per game.</p> <p>2.      Allow 40% or less field goal percentage.</p> <p>3.      Allow 33% or less from behind the 3 point arc.</p> <p>4.      DO NOT have a negative Assist/TO margin, TO margin, or rebound margin.</p> <p>Now, let’s take a look at our 2<sup>nd</sup> list of teams that qualify as Defensive Dandies, along with their supporting fundamental margins.</p> <p>PPGs and FG % are rounded to the nearest whole number for simplicity.</p> <p> </p> <table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td> <p><strong>TEAM</strong></p> </td> <td> <p><strong>PPG</strong></p> </td> <td> <p><strong>FG</strong></p> <p><strong>%</strong></p> </td> <td> <p><strong>3 PT</strong></p> <p><strong>%</strong></p> </td> <td> <p><strong>TOT</strong></p> </td> <td> <p><strong>SU</strong></p> </td> <td> <p><strong>ATS</strong></p> </td> <td> <p><strong>RBD</strong></p> <p><strong>MGN</strong></p> </td> <td> <p><strong>A/TO</strong></p> <p><strong>MGN</strong></p> </td> <td> <p><strong>TO</strong></p> <p><strong>MGN</strong></p> </td> <td> <p><strong>TOT</strong></p> <p><strong>MGN</strong></p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Arizona</p> </td> <td> <p>60</p> </td> <td> <p>39</p> </td> <td> <p>32</p> </td> <td> <p>130</p> </td> <td> <p>14-2</p> </td> <td> <p>8-8</p> </td> <td> <p>6.6</p> </td> <td> <p>2.5</p> </td> <td> <p>2.6</p> </td> <td> <p>11.7</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Baylor</p> </td> <td> <p>56</p> </td> <td> <p>38</p> </td> <td> <p>27</p> </td> <td> <p>121</p> </td> <td> <p>14-3</p> </td> <td> <p>5-5</p> </td> <td> <p>9.9</p> </td> <td> <p>2.2</p> </td> <td> <p>0.6</p> </td> <td> <p>12.7</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Bowling Green</p> </td> <td> <p>58</p> </td> <td> <p>39</p> </td> <td> <p>31</p> </td> <td> <p>128</p> </td> <td> <p>10-3</p> </td> <td> <p>9-1</p> </td> <td> <p>2.8</p> </td> <td> <p>2.2</p> </td> <td> <p>2.0</p> </td> <td> <p>7.0</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>E. Michigan</p> </td> <td> <p>59</p> </td> <td> <p>35</p> </td> <td> <p>29</p> </td> <td> <p>123</p> </td> <td> <p>11-4</p> </td> <td> <p>5-5</p> </td> <td> <p>2.2</p> </td> <td> <p>0.9</p> </td> <td> <p>3.9</p> </td> <td> <p>7.0</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Florida</p> </td> <td> <p>57</p> </td> <td> <p>39</p> </td> <td> <p>33</p> </td> <td> <p>129</p> </td> <td> <p>9-6</p> </td> <td> <p>6-6</p> </td> <td> <p>4.0</p> </td> <td> <p>2.4</p> </td> <td> <p>2.4</p> </td> <td> <p>8.8</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>GA Southern</p> </td> <td> <p>60</p> </td> <td> <p>39</p> </td> <td> <p>31</p> </td> <td> <p>130</p> </td> <td> <p>10-3</p> </td> <td> <p>6-1</p> </td> <td> <p>8.1</p> </td> <td> <p>0.3</p> </td> <td> <p>2.2</p> </td> <td> <p>10.6</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Gonzaga</p> </td> <td> <p>61</p> </td> <td> <p>38</p> </td> <td> <p>32</p> </td> <td> <p>130</p> </td> <td> <p>16-1</p> </td> <td> <p>10-4</p> </td> <td> <p>10.0</p> </td> <td> <p>6.6</p> </td> <td> <p>2.2</p> </td> <td> <p>18.8</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Hofstra</p> </td> <td> <p>66</p> </td> <td> <p>40</p> </td> <td> <p>31</p> </td> <td> <p>136</p> </td> <td> <p>13-4</p> </td> <td> <p>5-4</p> </td> <td> <p>2.7</p> </td> <td> <p>4.0</p> </td> <td> <p>2.5</p> </td> <td> <p>9.2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Illinois</p> </td> <td> <p>63</p> </td> <td> <p>40</p> </td> <td> <p>33</p> </td> <td> <p>135</p> </td> <td> <p>11-6</p> </td> <td> <p>5-9</p> </td> <td> <p>1.3</p> </td> <td> <p>2.8</p> </td> <td> <p>3.8</p> </td> <td> <p>7.9</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Iowa</p> </td> <td> <p>60</p> </td> <td> <p>39</p> </td> <td> <p>31</p> </td> <td> <p>130</p> </td> <td> <p>11-4</p> </td> <td> <p>5-7</p> </td> <td> <p>3.6</p> </td> <td> <p>2.8</p> </td> <td> <p>3.2</p> </td> <td> <p>8.6</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Iowa St.</p> </td> <td> <p>65</p> </td> <td> <p>40</p> </td> <td> <p>31</p> </td> <td> <p>136</p> </td> <td> <p>12-2</p> </td> <td> <p>6-5</p> </td> <td> <p>4.0</p> </td> <td> <p>5.6</p> </td> <td> <p>2.1</p> </td> <td> <p>11.7</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Kentucky</p> </td> <td> <p>52</p> </td> <td> <p>31</p> </td> <td> <p>28</p> </td> <td> <p>110</p> </td> <td> <p>15-0</p> </td> <td> <p>9-5</p> </td> <td> <p>9.2</p> </td> <td> <p>4.8</p> </td> <td> <p>4.5</p> </td> <td> <p>18.5</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Maryland</p> </td> <td> <p>61</p> </td> <td> <p>37</p> </td> <td> <p>28</p> </td> <td> <p>125</p> </td> <td> <p>15-2</p> </td> <td> <p>6-7</p> </td> <td> <p>4.3</p> </td> <td> <p>1.1</p> </td> <td> <p>0.4</p> </td> <td> <p>5.8</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Michigan St.</p> </td> <td> <p>61</p> </td> <td> <p>38</p> </td> <td> <p>29</p> </td> <td> <p>128</p> </td> <td> <p>12-5</p> </td> <td> <p>10-7</p> </td> <td> <p>7.7</p> </td> <td> <p>6.1</p> </td> <td> <p>0.0</p> </td> <td> <p>13.8</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>N. Carolina</p> </td> <td> <p>65</p> </td> <td> <p>36</p> </td> <td> <p>26</p> </td> <td> <p>127</p> </td> <td> <p>12-4</p> </td> <td> <p>10-6</p> </td> <td> <p>10.8</p> </td> <td> <p>5.0</p> </td> <td> <p>1.2</p> </td> <td> <p>17.0</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>N. Iowa</p> </td> <td> <p>55</p> </td> <td> <p>39</p> </td> <td> <p>30</p> </td> <td> <p>120</p> </td> <td> <p>14-2</p> </td> <td> <p>8-6</p> </td> <td> <p>1.5</p> </td> <td> <p>1.0</p> </td> <td> <p>1.1</p> </td> <td> <p>3.6</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Notre Dame</p> </td> <td> <p>62</p> </td> <td> <p>40</p> </td> <td> <p>33</p> </td> <td> <p>135</p> </td> <td> <p>15-2</p> </td> <td> <p>5-4</p> </td> <td> <p>3.0</p> </td> <td> <p>6.2</p> </td> <td> <p>3.0</p> </td> <td> <p>12.2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Ohio St.</p> </td> <td> <p>61</p> </td> <td> <p>39</p> </td> <td> <p>31</p> </td> <td> <p>131</p> </td> <td> <p>13-4</p> </td> <td> <p>8-7</p> </td> <td> <p>5.6</p> </td> <td> <p>5.9</p> </td> <td> <p>3.7</p> </td> <td> <p>15.2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Oklahoma</p> </td> <td> <p>59</p> </td> <td> <p>36</p> </td> <td> <p>28</p> </td> <td> <p>124</p> </td> <td> <p>11-4</p> </td> <td> <p>9-4</p> </td> <td> <p>2.5</p> </td> <td> <p>0.4</p> </td> <td> <p>2.0</p> </td> <td> <p>4.9</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>ODU</p> </td> <td> <p>56</p> </td> <td> <p>36</p> </td> <td> <p>29</p> </td> <td> <p>124</p> </td> <td> <p>13-2</p> </td> <td> <p>9-3</p> </td> <td> <p>7.2</p> </td> <td> <p>2.0</p> </td> <td> <p>0.8</p> </td> <td> <p>10.0</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Oregon St.</p> </td> <td> <p>57</p> </td> <td> <p>37</p> </td> <td> <p>28</p> </td> <td> <p>122</p> </td> <td> <p>11-4</p> </td> <td> <p>11-3</p> </td> <td> <p>4.0</p> </td> <td> <p>0.9</p> </td> <td> <p>2.5</p> </td> <td> <p>7.4</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>S. Carolina</p> </td> <td> <p>60</p> </td> <td> <p>35</p> </td> <td> <p>29</p> </td> <td> <p>124</p> </td> <td> <p>9-4</p> </td> <td> <p>6-5</p> </td> <td> <p>6.8</p> </td> <td> <p>1.2</p> </td> <td> <p>1.4</p> </td> <td> <p>9.4</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Seton Hall</p> </td> <td> <p>62</p> </td> <td> <p>40</p> </td> <td> <p>26</p> </td> <td> <p>128</p> </td> <td> <p>13-3</p> </td> <td> <p>12-2</p> </td> <td> <p>2.2</p> </td> <td> <p>0.0</p> </td> <td> <p>0.8</p> </td> <td> <p>3.0</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Syracuse</p> </td> <td> <p>58</p> </td> <td> <p>37</p> </td> <td> <p>27</p> </td> <td> <p>122</p> </td> <td> <p>12.4</p> </td> <td> <p>6.6</p> </td> <td> <p>5.2</p> </td> <td> <p>3.6</p> </td> <td> <p>2.6</p> </td> <td> <p>11.4</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Texas A&amp;M</p> </td> <td> <p>62</p> </td> <td> <p>40</p> </td> <td> <p>29</p> </td> <td> <p>130</p> </td> <td> <p>9-5</p> </td> <td> <p>6-5</p> </td> <td> <p>3.0</p> </td> <td> <p>2.4</p> </td> <td> <p>2.2</p> </td> <td> <p>7.6</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>UCSB</p> </td> <td> <p>62</p> </td> <td> <p>38</p> </td> <td> <p>30</p> </td> <td> <p>130</p> </td> <td> <p>7-7</p> </td> <td> <p>5-4</p> </td> <td> <p>2.7</p> </td> <td> <p>3.3</p> </td> <td> <p>0.3</p> </td> <td> <p>6.3</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Utah</p> </td> <td> <p>55</p> </td> <td> <p>36</p> </td> <td> <p>33</p> </td> <td> <p>124</p> </td> <td> <p>13-2</p> </td> <td> <p>10-4</p> </td> <td> <p>9.0</p> </td> <td> <p>2.6</p> </td> <td> <p>0.6</p> </td> <td> <p>12.2</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Villanova</p> </td> <td> <p>61</p> </td> <td> <p>40</p> </td> <td> <p>30</p> </td> <td> <p>130</p> </td> <td> <p>15-1</p> </td> <td> <p>10-5</p> </td> <td> <p>4.0</p> </td> <td> <p>4.3</p> </td> <td> <p>4.1</p> </td> <td> <p>12.4</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Virginia</p> </td> <td> <p>51</p> </td> <td> <p>34</p> </td> <td> <p>31</p> </td> <td> <p>115</p> </td> <td> <p>15-0</p> </td> <td> <p>9-4</p> </td> <td> <p>12.0</p> </td> <td> <p>4.5</p> </td> <td> <p>0.3</p> </td> <td> <p>16.8</p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p>Wisc-GB</p> </td> <td> <p>58</p> </td> <td> <p>39</p> </td> <td> <p>30</p> </td> <td> <p>126</p> </td> <td> <p>13-3</p> </td> <td> <p>8-6</p> </td> <td> <p>5.3</p> </td> <td> <p>0.7</p> </td> <td> <p>0.9</p> </td> <td> <p>6.9</p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p> </p> <p>In addition to these 30 qualifying teams as Defensive Dandies, there is an additional list of 17 teams who are on the cusp of qualifying.  I always keep these teams on a separate list to watch their performance.  Many of these teams turn out to be a hidden gem in a college basketball season, who can go on under the radar pointspread runs.</p> <p>As important as great defense is in winning basketball, there are other fundamentals which must also be in place.  For, it is important to control the boards (solid rebound margin), take care of the basketball (a positive TO margin), and take good shots (a positive Assist/TO ratio).  When we add these fundamental factors, we make the list even stronger.</p> <p style="text-align:center"><a href="" style="text-align:center" target="_blank" title="NCAA Basketball Odds"><em>Before placing your NCAA Basketball bet, compare available betting odds </em></a></p> <p>As a measure of just how successful these teams are for our purposes, consider that the 30 teams listed above are 368-98 SU (79.3%).  Also note that they are 227-148 ATS (60.5%).  Think long and hard about fading any of these Defensive Dandies when doing your handicapping each day.  These teams have all proven that great defense combined with strong fundamental basketball is a great measure of pointspread success. </p> <p>Though Defensive Dandies have been the most reliable statistical handicapping tool <a href="" target="_blank" title="NCAA Basketball Betting Forum">for experienced College Basketball bettors</a> to use, do not forget to include my 230 Club Offensive Members in your statistical handicapping arsenal. This list is available as a separate article also published on this date.  For those who prefer that I do all the work, my CBKB and NBA selections, which are a blend of statistical handicapping, home/road dichotomies, coaching profiles, situational analysis, and technical trends are frequently shared on our <a href="" target="_blank" title="Free NCAA Basketball Picks">NCAA Basketball picks</a> page.</p>
comment here