For those of us who enjoy betting college basketball, every Saturday is like Christmas, with so many offerings. Sure it is a lot work, but the rewards can be tremendous in seeking opportunity.
Our initial article on money line underdogs that can win games was very well received and we will keep it going on Saturday's and possibly more with March Madness on the horizon. Betting dogs as long shots has value to bettors because extra cash is made if they come through.
1:00 ET - Miami-FL +235 over North Carolina
People are still talking about how the Tar Heels lost to Duke on Wednesday in Chapel Hill which would not seem to bode well for this North Carolina club. All season we have been told this is the most talented team in the country, yet time and again coach Roy Williams players fail to show it, particularly at crunch time. At this juncture this is a mentally soft team who is receiving mediocre guard play right now and this is something Miami can exploit with Sheldon McCellan and Angel Rodriguez. The Hurricanes front court also like to bang, not a specialty of the Heels. Miami is 11-2 versus teams who outscore opponents by four or more points this season.
2:00 ET - Air Force +275 over New Mexico
A couple weeks ago, this would not been even for consideration when Air Force was in the midst of an eight-game losing streak. However, they have since won they three of five, all at home and have New Mexico in Colorado Springs today. All three of those wins were as home underdogs against Wyoming (+4.5), Boise State (+11.5) and UNLV (+8.5), just this past Tuesday. What has changed for the Falcons is they are shooting the ball better, which has made them competitive. Backing New Mexico on the road is generally a losing proposition over the years and this season is no different at 4-8 SU. The Lobos are not likely to take Air Force all that seriously, having beaten them by 29 about three weeks ago and they expended a lot of energy Wednesday, trailing Boise State by 15 before winning 80-78. With New Mexico only 3-10 SU against teams who create six or less steals a contest more than 15 games into the season the last few years, for NCAA basketball picks, this could be interesting long shot.
4:00 ET - Oklahoma +170 over West Virginia
The old axiom of - Living or Dying by the 3 - has really hurt Oklahoma, who has lost their last two and three of four. The Sooners have played like they have tired legs, so why would knock out West Virginia and their pressing defense on the road? Let's start with the Mountaineers defense is normally somewhat easier to play against the second time around as teams figure out once you get by the first wave, there are ways to attack the basket. Also, one of West Virginia's strengths is their depth which adds energy and important cogs Daxter Miles Jr. and Jaysean Paige were both questionable coming into game and might be limited even if they do play with injuries. Good spot for Oklahoma to move to 10-2 SU after a Big 12 road loss.
5:30 ET - Tennessee +115 over LSU
Not exactly a cash grab by winning, but better than standard against the spread odds. LSU has not played well on the road all season with a 3-7 and 2-8 ATS record. The Tigers are not sound defensively and allow too many open looks and easy buckets, directly leading to giving up 79.5 points a contest. Tennessee is not a particularly fluid offensive team but is 11-2 SU in Knoxville, where they average 81.5 PPG and play much better defense in limiting the opposition to 38.5 percent shooting. With the Vols 19-6 as money line home dogs of +135 or less and LSU 3-10 SU off a loss SEC loss as a favorite of six points or more, you can follow the path on this one.