NCAA Basketball Betting - Capper Calls for Low Scoring Michigan St./Duke Game

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, November 29, 2016 5:25 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 29, 2016 5:25 PM UTC

If you’re planning to wager on today’s Michigan State and Duke game, then this is a must-read article from expert capper Ross Benjamin. He provides us with a betting preview and concludes with a NCAA basketball free pick.

College Basketball Betting Odds: Michigan State vs. Duke

#15 Duke will host Michigan State on Tuesday as part of the Big Ten/ACC Challenge. The opening tip from Cameron Indoor Arena in Durham, North Carolina is slated for 9:30 PM ET, and it will be televised by ESPN.

These two historic college basketball programs will be meeting for the 3rd consecutive season, and it’s also a 5th time in 6 years that they’ve met. Duke has won and covered against Michigan State in the 2 most recent matchups.

At the time of this writing (11:00 AM ET), college basketball betting odds at indicates that Duke is an 11.5-point favorite, and the posted total is 144.5. Bookmaker is widely regarded as one of the top online betting sites.


Rough Start for Spartans

Michigan State was ranked #12 in the AP Preseason Poll. By week 3 they dropped to #24, and in the latest AP Poll Michigan State fell out of the Top 25. It’s easy to see why based on the Spartans uninspiring 4-3 start. They’ve already suffered losses to Arizona by 2, Kentucky by 21, and Baylor by 15. Furthermore, they narrowly escaped with a 78-77 home win as a 14.5-point favorite against Florida Gulf Coast.

Through their first 7 games, Michigan State has converted on just 60.3% of their free throw attempts, and is averaging a mere 16 attempts per game. On a positive note, they’ve held opponents to only 38.3% shooting from the floor. This will be the 4th time this season that there’s been a total of 140.0 or more in a Michigan State game, and each of the previous 3 went under the total.


Same Old Same Old

Duke is once again regarded as one of the top teams in college basketball, and a serious national championship contender. The Blue Devils have seen each of their 6 lined games go under the total despite averaging 85.6 points scored per contest. Those results coincide with Duke allowing 63.6 points per game, limiting their opponents to 39.8% shooting, and that includes a paltry 25.2% from 3-point territory.


Final Take and Pick

Relative to the current total, I like this game to be a low-scoring affair. One of my Tuesday college basketball free picks reflects that precise prognostication.

Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Under 144.5Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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